Analysis of transactions and tips for trading EUR/USD
The test of 1.0861 on Friday afternoon, coinciding with the rise of the MACD line from zero, prompted a buy signal that led to a price increase of around 25 pips. Pressure then returned to the market shortly after.
Weak business activity data in the eurozone limited the pair's further growth in the morning, while strong figures on the US labor market, where the number of employed individuals exceeded expectations, led to a significant decline. Considering the empty macroeconomic calendar today, euro may continue to rise, as there will be many interviews and speeches by ECB representatives regarding on the topic of inflation. This could offset Friday's sell-off.
For long positions:
Buy when euro hits 1.0823 (green line on the chart) and take profit at the price of 1.0876. Growth may occur after hawkish statements from the ECB. However, when buying, ensure that the MACD line lies above zero or just starts to rise from it.
Euro can also be bought after two consecutive price tests of 1.0788, but the MACD line should be in the oversold area as only by that will the market reverse to 1.0823 and 1.0876.
For short positions:
Sell when euro reaches 1.0788 (red line on the chart) and take profit at the price of 1.0740. Pressure will increase in the event of weak bullish activity around 1.0823. However, when selling, traders must ensure that the MACD line lies below zero or drops down from it.
Euro can also be sold after two consecutive price tests of 1.0823, but the MACD line should be in the overbought area as only by that will the market reverse to 1.0788 and 1.0740.
What's on the chart:
Thin green line - entry price at which you can buy EUR/USD
Thick green line - estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further growth above this level is unlikely.
Thin red line - entry price at which you can sell EUR/USD
Thick red line - estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further decline below this level is unlikely.
MACD line- it is important to be guided by overbought and oversold areas when entering the market
Important: Novice traders need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp fluctuations in the rate. If you decide to trade during the release of news, then always place stop orders to minimize losses. Without placing stop orders, you can very quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you do not use money management and trade large volumes.
And remember that for successful trading, you need to have a clear trading plan. Spontaneous trading decision based on the current market situation is an inherently losing strategy for an intraday trader.
