Analysis of transactions and trading tips on EUR/USD
Further decline became limited because the test of 1.0725 earlier in the day coincided with the sharp drop of the MACD line away from zero.
Disappointing business activity data and assessment of the present situation from the ZEW institute led to a fall in risk appetite, which will likely continue this afternoon, as sellers will make another attempt to break the daily lows. The failure of this will return demand for euro immediately.
Data related to the NFIB Small Business Optimism Index will come out in the US, but it will not provoke significant impact to dollar.
For long positions:
Buy when euro hits 1.0732 (green line on the chart) and take profit at the price of 1.0756. Growth will occur if traders defend local lows. However, when buying, ensure that the MACD line lies above zero or rises from it.
Euro can also be bought after two consecutive price tests of 1.0713, but the MACD line should be in the oversold area as only by that will the market reverse to 1.0732 and 1.0756.
For short positions:
Sell when euro reaches 1.0713 (red line on the chart) and take profit at the price of 1.0690. Pressure will increase in the event of a strong statistics from the US and breakdown of local lows without much bullish activity. However, when selling, make sure that the MACD line lies below zero or drops down from it.
Euro can also be sold after two consecutive price tests of 1.0732, but the MACD line should be in the overbought area as only by that will the market reverse to 1.0713 and 1.0690.
What's on the chart:
Thin green line - entry price at which you can buy EUR/USD
Thick green line - estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further growth above this level is unlikely.
Thin red line - entry price at which you can sell EUR/USD
Thick red line - estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further decline below this level is unlikely.
MACD line- it is important to be guided by overbought and oversold areas when entering the market
Important: Novice traders need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp fluctuations in the rate. If you decide to trade during the release of news, then always place stop orders to minimize losses. Without placing stop orders, you can very quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you do not use money management and trade large volumes.
And remember that for successful trading, you need to have a clear trading plan. Spontaneous trading decision based on the current market situation is an inherently losing strategy for an intraday trader.
