Analysis of transactions and tips for trading USD/JPY
The test of 145.45, coinciding with the rise of the MACD line from zero, provoked a buy signal that, accompanied by strong US labor market statistics, led to a price increase of around 30 pips. Pressure on the pair returned shortly after.
Very weak data on the US service sector resulted in a drop in dollar demand, causing a massive decline in USD/JPY at the end of last week. As for today, Japan's macroeconomic calendar will be empty, so market players will focus instead on the speeches of Fed representatives.
For long positions:
Buy when the price hits 144.58 (green line on the chart) and take profit at 145.41. Growth will occur after regaining control over the level of 144.58.
When buying, ensure that the MACD line lies above zero or rises from it. Also consider buying USD/JPY after two consecutive price tests of 144.11, but the MACD line should be in the oversold area as only by that will the market reverse to 144.58 and 145.41.
For short positions:
Sell when the price reaches 144.11 (red line on the chart) and take profit at 143.26. Pressure may continue today in line with Friday's trend.
When selling, ensure that the MACD line lies below zero or drops down from it. Also consider selling USD/JPY after two consecutive price tests of 144.58, but the MACD line should be in the overbought area as only by that will the market reverse to 144.11 and 143.26.
What's on the chart:
Thin green line - entry price at which you can buy USD/JPY
Thick green line - estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further growth above this level is unlikely.
Thin red line - entry price at which you can sell USD/JPY
Thick red line - estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further decline below this level is unlikely.
MACD line- it is important to be guided by overbought and oversold areas when entering the market
Important: Novice traders need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp fluctuations in the rate. If you decide to trade during the release of news, then always place stop orders to minimize losses. Without placing stop orders, you can very quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you do not use money management and trade large volumes.
And remember that for successful trading, you need to have a clear trading plan. Spontaneous trading decision based on the current market situation is an inherently losing strategy for an intraday trader.
