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FX.co ★ Treasuries Pull Back Off Early Highs But Remain Positive

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typeContent_19130:::2024-02-15T20:16:00

Treasuries Pull Back Off Early Highs But Remain Positive

Treasuries experienced a newfound strength early on in the trading session before slipping slightly. Despite this, they finished on the positive side. The trading day ended with bond prices marginally up, prolonging the recovery seen in the previous session. Consequently, the yield on the fundamental ten-year note decreased by 2.7 basis points to 4.240 percent.

The ten-year yield continued its descent from its two-month closing peak on Tuesday, bolstered by a decline of 4.9 basis points on Wednesday. An unexpected drop in retail sales in January, as reported by the Commerce Department, spurred this growth in treasuries.

According to the Commerce Department, retail sales decreased by 0.8 percent in January, following a downwardly revised 0.4 percent increase in December. Economists had predicted a lesser decrease of just 0.1 percent. Without including motor vehicle and parts dealer sales, January saw a drop of 0.6 percent, compared to a rise of 0.4 percent in December.

Sam Millette, Director of Fixed Income for Commonwealth Financial Network, noted that bond yields dropped instantly after the report release. Millette suggested that this was due to investor predictions of a possible economic slowdown, which would subsequently encourage rate cuts by the Federal Reserve later in the year.

However, the surge in buying interest subsided over time as a range of other US data provided a mixed economic outlook.

An unexpected slight dip in the US industrial production in January was disclosed in the report issued by the Federal Reserve. According to the Fed, industrial production fell by 0.1 percent instead of the forecasted 0.3 percent increase.

In the meantime, the Labor Department's separate report showed an unanticipated decline in first-time unemployment benefit claims for the week ending February 10th. Initial jobless claims decreased to 212,000, down 8,000 from the revised previous week's figure of 220,000.

Additionally, a separate early morning report by the Labor Department revealed an unexpected rise in US import prices for January.

Economists and traders will likely focus on the producer price inflation report due on Friday, in addition to reports on consumer sentiment and housing starts.

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