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Trader Journals:::2026-02-28T01:25:48

EUR/JPY

I see the EUR/JPY cross pausing at the end of the week, and I interpret this pause as a temporary respite rather than a convincing continuation of bullish momentum. I notice that although the pair managed to gain some ground intraday, I do not consider this movement a true breakout, but rather a local push that appears close to exhaustion. I observe that price action is hovering around 184.40 after testing 184.55, and I believe this behavior reflects hesitation near short-term resistance. I focus on the 185.00 psychological level, and I consider it a natural ceiling where buyers may be tempted to lock in profits. I watch the RSI tilting slightly downward in the mid-range, and I interpret this as a signal of weakening bullish pressure. I also see that the AO shows only a weak buy signal, and I treat it as insufficient confirmation for aggressive long positions. I recognize that the pair remains within the previous day’s range, and I interpret this as a sign of consolidation rather than expansion. I expect a possible drift toward support at 183.90, and I consider cautious selling toward 184.00 reasonable if momentum fades further.

EUR/JPY

I also acknowledge that on the H4 timeframe I see a broader bullish structure, and I note that price remains above the Ichimoku cloud, which I interpret as an underlying upward bias. I observe that the bulls have previously broken initial resistance and are attempting to stabilize above 184.40, and I believe consolidation above 184.75 would strengthen the bullish case. I identify 184.46–184.71 as a key resistance zone, and I think a clear break there could open the path toward 185.15 and potentially 185.90. I remain aware that failure to hold above 184.20–184.00 could shift short-term control back to sellers. I see 183.60–183.80 as the first meaningful support, and I consider 182.24 a deeper corrective target if bearish pressure accelerates. I approach Monday with cautious optimism, but I remain flexible because I understand how quickly sentiment can shift. I plan to monitor price reaction at resistance and support closely, and I intend to adjust my bias based on confirmation rather than anticipation.
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