FX.co ★ EUR/USD

*EURUSD 30M: SMC Analysis - Bullish OB Bounce vs Bearish CHoCH* *Current Price: 1.14094* *According to my analysis* EURUSD 30M is in a *bearish structure after CHoCH* but currently testing a *BULLISH ORDER BLOCK 1.13940 - 1.14020*. Current price *1.14094* is sitting right on top of it. The chart shows a tug-of-war: bears want a drop to sweep *SSL 1.13820* and hit *TP 1.13600*. Bulls want a bounce from OB to take *BSL 1.14570* and hit *TP 1.14570*. Until we get a clear break, this is a reaction zone. *Structure Breakdown* 1. *SMC Structure*: Price made a *CHoCH* after breaking structure down. Then did an *MSS* into the blue Bullish OB. Now we need confirmation. 2. *Bullish Order Block 1.13940 - 1.14020*: Blue zone. This is where buyers defended last time. Holding here = bounce setup. 3. *Supply Zones Above*: *Minor Supply 1.14380 - 1.14480* *Major Supply 1.14650 - 1.14850* + *BSL 1.14570*. Target for longs. 4. *Demand Zones Below*: *Minor Demand 1.13600 - 1.13700* *Major Demand 1.13700 - 1.13820* + *SSL 1.13820*. Target for shorts. 5. *Key Levels*: Sell below 1.13820. Buy above 1.14020 hold. *Risk Management and Trading Discipline* SMC is about waiting for reaction at zones. 1. *Risk 1% max per trade*. 30M can be choppy. 2. *Long Plan*: Entry 1.13940 - 1.14020 OB hold + bullish candle | SL 1.13800 below SSL | TP1 1.14380 | TP2 1.14570 BSL. *RR: ∼1:2.1* 3. *Short Plan*: Entry 1.13820 break + retest | SL 1.13980 | TP1 1.13700 | TP2 1.13600. 4. *Discipline Rules*: Don’t trade inside the OB. Wait for sweep + reaction. Move SL to BE at +1R. Journal: Did I wait for CHoCH confirmation or guess? *SMC Key From Chart* *BOS* = Break of Structure *CHoCH* = Change of Character *MSS* = Market Structure Shift *BSL/SSL* = Buy/Sell-Side Liquidity *OB* = Order Block

*Potential Scenarios* *Bullish Scenario*: Hold 1.13940 OB, sweep SSL, then push to 1.14380 → 1.14570 BSL. *Bearish Scenario*: Lose 1.13820, sweep SSL, drop to 1.13700 → 1.13600 TP. *Conclusion and Outlook* 30M bias is *neutral until OB breaks*. Most likely: reaction from 1.13940 - 1.14020. Hold = long to 1.14570. Lose = short to 1.13600. Watch the wick. The zone tells the story.