FX.co ★ Traders economic calendar. International economic events

In any given month, the rate of inflation in a price index like the Consumer Price Index or Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) can be thought of as a weighted average, or mean, of the rates of change in the prices of all the goods and services that make up the index. Calculating the trimmed-mean PCE inflation rate for a given month involves looking at the price changes for each of the individual components of personal consumption expenditures. The individual price changes are sorted in ascending order from fell the most to rose the most, and a certain fraction of the most extreme observations at both ends of the spectrum are like a skaters best and worst marks thrown out, or trimmed. The inflation rate is then calculated as a weighted average of the remaining components. For the series presented here, 19.4 percent of the weight from the lower tail and 25.4 percent of the weight in the upper tail are trimmed. Those proportions have been chosen, based on historical data, to give the best fit between the trimmed-mean inflation rate and proxies for the true core PCE inflation rate. The resulting inflation measure has been shown to outperform the more conventional excluding food and energy measure as a gauge of core inflation.

Wholesale Inventories measures the change in the total value of goods held in inventory by wholesalers.

A higher than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD.

Change in the total value of sales at the wholesale level.

Retail Sales measure the change in the total value of inflation-adjusted sales at the retail level. It is the foremost indicator of consumer spending, which accounts for the majority of overall economic activity.

A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the BRL, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the BRL.

Retail Sales measure the change in the total value of inflation-adjusted sales at the retail level. It is the foremost indicator of consumer spending, which accounts for the majority of overall economic activity.

A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the BRL while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the BRL.

The consumer price index (CPI) is a measure of change in the general level of prices of goods and services bought by households over a specified period of time. It compares a household's cost for a specific basket of finished goods and services with the cost of the same basket during an earlier benchmark period. The consumer price index is used as a measurement of and is a key economic figure. Likely impact: 1) Interest Rates: Larger-than-expected quarterly increase in price inflation or increasing trend is considered inflationary; this will cause bond prices to drop and yields and interest rates to rise. 2) Stock Prices: Higher than expected price inflation is bearish on the stock market as higher inflation will lead to higher interest rates. 3) Exchange Rates: High inflation has an uncertain effect. It would lead to depreciation as higher prices mean lower competitiveness. Conversely, higher inflation causes higher interest rates and a tighter monetary policy that leads to an appreciation.

The Energy Information Administration (EIA) Natural Gas Storage report measures the change in the number of cubic feet of natural gas held in underground storage during the past week.

While this is a U.S. indicator it tends to have a greater impact on the Canadian dollar, due to Canada's sizable energy sector.

If the increase in natural gas inventories is more than expected, it implies weaker demand and is bearish for natural gas prices. The same can be said if a decline in inventories is less than expected.

If the increase in natural gas is less than expected, it implies greater demand and is bullish for natural gas prices. The same can be said if a decline in inventories is more than expected.

Total of a country's gold holdings and convertible foreign currencies held in its central bank. Usually includes foreign currencies themselves, other assets denominated in foreign currencies, and particular amount of special drawing rights (SDRs).A foreign exchange reserve is a useful precaution for countries exposed to financial crises. It can be used for the purpose of intervening in the exchange market to influence or peg the exchange rate.

The Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes is an important economic calendar event for Mexico. It is a comprehensive record of the discussions and decisions made by the Bank of Mexico's governing board during their periodic monetary policy meetings. The document, which is released publicly, contains valuable insights into the central bank's perspective and stance regarding the country's current economic situation, as well as its forecasts and expectations for the future.

Investors, analysts, and policymakers pay close attention to this event, as it can provide indications on the direction of the country's monetary policy, including possible adjustments to the benchmark interest rate, known as the “target for the overnight interbank rate.” By analyzing the meeting minutes, market participants can gain a better understanding of the central bank's assessment of the economy's performance, inflation, and growth prospects, thereby assisting them in making more informed decisions.

The figures displayed in the calendar represent the rate on the Treasury Bill auctioned.

U.S. Treasury Bills have maturities of a few days to one year. Governments issue treasuries to borrow money to cover the gap between the amount they receive in taxes and the amount they spend to refinance existing debt and/or to raise capital. The rate on a Treasury Bill represents the return an investor will receive by holding the bill for its entire duration. All bidders receive the same rate at the highest accepted bid.

Yield fluctuations should be monitored closely as an indicator of the government debt situation. Investors compare the average rate at auction to the rate at previous auctions of the same security.

The figures displayed in the calendar represent the rate on the Treasury Bill auctioned.U.S. Treasury Bills have maturities of a few days to one year. Governments issue treasuries to borrow money to cover the gap between the amount they receive in taxes and the amount they spend to refinance existing debt and/or to raise capital. The rate on a Treasury Bill represents the return an investor will receive by holding the bill for its entire duration. All bidders receive the same rate at the highest accepted bid. Yield fluctuations should be monitored closely as an indicator of the government debt situation. Investors compare the average rate at auction to the rate at previous auctions of the same security.

The Atlanta Fed GDPNow is an economic event that provides a real-time estimate of the United States' gross domestic product (GDP) growth for the current quarter. It serves as a valuable indicator for analysts, policymakers, and economists looking to gauge the health of the American economy.

Created and maintained by the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, the GDPNow model utilizes a sophisticated algorithm that processes incoming data from official government sources. These sources include reports on manufacturing, trade, retail sales, housing, and other sectors, which allows the Atlanta Fed to update their GDP growth projections on a frequent basis.

As an essential benchmark for economic performance, the GDPNow forecast can significantly impact financial markets and influence investment decisions. Market participants often use the GDPNow forecast to adjust their expectations regarding monetary policies and various economic outcomes.

A financial situation that occurs when an entity has more money going out than coming in. The term "budget deficit" is most commonly used to refer to government spending rather than business or individual spending. When it refers to federal government spending, a budget deficit is also known as the "national debt." The opposite of a budget deficit is a budget surplus, and when inflows are equal to outflows, the budget is said to be balanced.

This monthly report provides the current USDA forecasts of U.S. and world supply-use balances of major grains, soybeans and products, and cotton; and U.S. supply and use of sugar and livestock products.

The figures displayed in the calendar represent the yield on the Treasury Bond auctioned.

U.S. Treasury Bonds have maturities from ten up to 30 years. Governments issue treasuries to borrow money to cover the gap between the amount they receive in taxes and the amount they spend to refinance existing debt and/or to raise capital. The rate on a Treasury Bond represents the return an investor will receive by holding the bond for its entire duration. All bidders receive the same rate at the highest accepted bid.

Yield fluctuations should be monitored closely as an indicator of the government debt situation. Investors compare the average rate at auction to the rate at previous auctions of the same security.

Foreign exchange reserves are only the foreign currency deposits held by central banks and monetary authorities. The Bank of Israel operates in the FX markets by buying and selling foreign currency in response to exchange rate movements. The dollars which the Bank is purchasing become part of the Bank's foreign exchange reserves.

GDP measures the summary value of goods and services generated in a relevant country or region. A region's gross domestic product, or GDP, is one of the ways for measuring the size of its economy. Expenditure approach - Total expenditures on all finished goods and services produced within the economy. Calculation: GDP using the expenditure approach is derived as the sum of all final expenditures, changes in inventories and exports of goods and services less imports of goods and services. Market influence of GDP: Unexpectedly high quarterly GDP growth is perceived to be potentially inflationary if the economy is close to full capacity; this, in turn, causes bond prices to drop and yields and interest rates to rise. Where the stock market is concerned, higher than expected growth leads to higher profits and that's good for the stock market.

Monetary aggregates, known also as "money supply", is the quantity of currency available within the economy to purchase goods and services. Depending on the degree of liquidity chosen to define an asset as money, various monetary aggregates are distinguished: M0, M1, M2, M3, M4, etc. Not all of them are used by every country. Note that methodology of calculating money supply varies between countries. M2 is a monetary aggregate that includes all physical currency circulating in the economy (banknotes and coins), operational deposits in central bank, money in current accounts, saving accounts, money market deposits and small certificates of deposit. Excess money supply growth potentially can cause inflation and generate fears that the government may tighten money growth by allowing the interest rates to rise which in turn, lowers future prices. M2 = Currency in circulation + demand deposits (private sector) + time and savings deposits (private sector).

The Private Sector Credit is an important economic indicator that measures the total outstanding credit provided by financial institutions to businesses and households in Bahrain. This reflects the overall financial health of the private sector and is a key indicator of the level of credit available in the economy. It is a valuable tool for policymakers, investors, and analysts to assess the current economic climate and determine potential growth prospects.

A rise in private sector credit shows increased confidence and growth potential, as businesses and households are taking advantage of credit facilities to invest in capital goods, expand their operations, and boost consumer spending. This growth in credit is usually a sign of a healthy and expanding economy. On the other hand, a decline in credit indicates a lack of confidence, reduced investment, and potential stagnation in the economy. Therefore, monitoring changes in private sector credit can help identify prevailing economic trends and make informed decisions regarding investments and economic policies.

The M3 Money Supply is a key economic indicator that measures the total amount of money circulating in an economy, including cash, checking deposits, and savings deposits within the United Arab Emirates. A broader measure of money supply, M3 also includes less liquid financial instruments like large time deposits, institutional money market funds, and other larger, less-liquid assets.

As a monthly event on the economic calendar, the M3 Money Supply's growth rate is closely monitored by investors and policymakers to assess the health of the economy, the direction of interest rates, and potential inflationary pressures. An increase in the M3 Money Supply may signal an expansionary monetary policy, which can lead to increased investment, job creation, and economic growth, while a decrease may indicate a contractionary policy, potentially leading to economic stagnation or recession.

The funds a buyer has to borrow (usually from a bank or other financial institution) to purchase a property, generally secured by a registered mortgage to the bank over the property being purchased. A home loan requires you to pledge your home as the lender's security for repayment of your loan. The lender agrees to hold the title or deed to your property until you have paid back your loan plus interest.

Industrial Production measures the change in the total inflation-adjusted value of output produced by manufacturers, mines, and utilities.

A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the ARS, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the ARS.

The Fed balance sheet is a statement listing the assets and liabilities of the Federal Reserve System. Details of the Fed's balance sheet are disclosed by the Fed in a weekly report called "Factors Affecting Reserve Balances."

Reserve Balances with Federal Reserve Banks is the amount of money that depository institutions maintain in their accounts at their regional Federal Reserve Banks.

The Business NZ Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) measures the activity level of purchasing managers in the manufacturing sector. A reading above 50 indicates expansion; a reading below 50 indicates contraction. It gives an indication about the health of the manufacturing section and production growth in New Zealand.

A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the NZD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the NZD.

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the change in the price of goods and services from the perspective of the consumer. It is a key way to measure changes in purchasing trends.

A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the COP, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the COP.

The consumer price index (CPI) is a measure of change in the general level of prices of goods and services bought by households over a specified period of time. It compares a household's cost for a specific basket of finished goods and services with the cost of the same basket during an earlier benchmark period.

The consumer price index is used as a measurement of inflation and is a key economic figure. Likely impact:

1) Interest Rates: Larger-than-expected quarterly increase in price or increasing trend is considered inflationary; this will cause bond prices to drop and yields and interest rates to rise.

2) Stock Prices: Higher than expected price inflation is bearish on the stock market as higher inflation will lead to higher interest rates.

3) Exchange Rates: High inflation has an uncertain effect. It would lead to depreciation as higher prices mean lower competitiveness. Conversely, higher inflation causes higher interest rates and a tighter monetary policy that leads to an appreciation.

The Central Reserve Bank of Peru's Monetary Policy Committee decision on where to set the benchmark interest rate. Traders watch interest rate changes closely as short term interest rates are the primary factor in currency valuation.

A higher than expected rate is positive/bullish for the PEN, while a lower than expected rate is negative/bearish for the PEN.

Bank Lending measures the change in the total value of outstanding bank loans issued to consumers and businesses. Borrowing and spending are closely correlated with consumer confidence.

A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the JPY, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the JPY.

The Corporate Goods Price Index (CGPI) measures the change in the selling prices of goods purchased by Japanese corporations. The CGPI measures the change in the rate of inflation in Japan from the perspective of the manufacturer and is correlated with consumer price inflation.

A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the JPY, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the JPY.

The Corporate Goods Price Index measures the price movement of domestically-produced and domestically-used goods with sample prices, collected either from the producer or wholesaler of these goods. (was WPI before).

The Bank of Korea (BOK) Monetary Policy Committee's decision on where to set the benchmark interest rate. Traders watch interest rate changes closely as short term interest rates are the primary factor in currency valuation.

A higher than expected rate is positive/bullish for the KRW, while a lower than expected rate is negative/bearish for the KRW.

Foreign capital actually utilized refers to the amount which has been actually used according to the agreements and contracts, including cash, materials and invisible capital such as labour service and technology which both parties agree to take as an investment. A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the PHP, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the PHP.

A monetary policy is generally the process through which a central bank with a sole right to issue its own currency (legal tender or monetary base) maintains the value of that currency, that is, price, and achieves sustainable economic growth by managing the amount of money (monetary base and money created in the banking system) in circulation, and price (interest rate) in the economy. Bank of Korea Act stipulates that the purpose of this Act is “to contribute to the sound development of the national economy by pursuing price stability through the formulation and implementation of efficient monetary policy”. Accordingly, the Bank of Korea takes price stability as the most important objective of its monetary policy. If prices become unstable, uncertainty concerning the future mounts, discouraging economic activities as a whole, and the distribution of income and resources grows distorted. As a result, the stabilityin economic conditions as a whole is damaged. In order for the national economy to achieve stable growth, it should be supported by not only price stability but also financial stability. Regarding this, Article 1, Clause 2 of the「Bank of Korea Act」 stipulates that “The Bank of Korea needs to pay attention to financial stability in the implementation of monetary policy”. Thus, the Bank of Korea is also making policy efforts to maintain financial stability while pursuing price stability through implementing its monetary policy.

The Building Approvals report is a significant economic indicator in Australia, offering insights into the development and growth of the housing sector. This data provides estimations of future construction activity, and by extension, the wellbeing of the construction industry. The number of buildings approved for construction helps analysts to evaluate job prospects in the sector and to predict if any fluctuations in the housing market are imminent.

Building approvals also indicate the confidence level of builders and can reflect expectations about the economy’s overall health. A high number of approvals might suggest high future investment in construction and therefore overall economic growth. Conversely, a decrease might signal a decline in the construction sector and potentially wider economic troubles. For these reasons, the Building Approvals report is closely watched by economists, investors, and policy makers alike.

Building Approvals (also known as Building Permits) measures the change in the number of new building approvals issued by the government. Building permits are key indicator of demand in the housing market.

A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the AUD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the AUD.

Construction industry provides information on construction output and activity. Such information gives an insight into the supply on the housing and construction market. Rising number of new construction starts or value of construction completed reflects higher consumer and business optimism. Expanding construction indicates growth in the housing market and predicts an increase in the overall economy. However, an excessive supply of new buildings may result in a drop in housing prices. The construction industry is one of the first to go into a recession when the economy declines but also to recover as conditions improve. Statistics of building work approved are compiled from: permits issued by local government authorities; contracts let or day labour work authorised by Commonwealth, State, semi-government and local government authorities; major building activity in areas not subject to normal administrative approval e.g. building on remote mine sites.

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the change in the price of goods and services from the perspective of the consumer. It is a key way to measure changes in purchasing trends.

A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the CNY, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the CNY.

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the change in the price of goods and services from the perspective of the consumer. It is a key way to measure changes in purchasing trends.

A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the CNY, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the CNY.

The Producer Price Index (PPI) measures the change in the price of goods sold by manufacturers. It is a leading indicator of consumer price inflation, which accounts for the majority of overall inflation.

A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the CNY, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the CNY.

The Thomson Reuters IPSOS Primary Consumer Sentiment Index (PCSI) is a key economic calendar event for South Korea that gauges the overall confidence and financial outlook of consumers in the country. The index is based on a comprehensive survey conducted by the global research firm Ipsos and data provider Thomson Reuters, which polls thousands of individuals on various aspects of personal financial situations and general economic conditions.

A higher PCSI score indicates increased consumer optimism, which often translates into stronger spending habits and healthier economic growth. Conversely, a lower score suggests more pessimism among consumers, potentially leading to reduced spending and slower economic growth. Investors and policymakers keep a close eye on the PCSI, as changes in consumer sentiment can have significant impacts on the performance of the national economy.

As a forward-looking indicator, the Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI offers valuable insights into the future trajectory of the South Korean economy, providing valuable information for traders, businesses, and policymakers to make informed decisions.

The Thomson Reuters IPSOS Primary Consumer Sentiment Index (PCSI) is a monthly economic indicator that measures the overall confidence and sentiment of Indian consumers. The index is based on a survey conducted by research firm IPSOS in collaboration with Thomson Reuters, one of the world's leading providers of economic data and insights.

The PCSI is calculated using a sample of Indian consumers, who are asked about their perceptions and expectations concerning the economy, jobs, personal finances, and their willingness to make major purchases. The survey results are used to calculate the index value, with a higher score indicating stronger consumer confidence and a more optimistic outlook for the economy.

Investors, economists, and policymakers closely monitor the PCSI as it provides valuable insights into India's consumer market, predicting consumer behavior, and its potential impact on the country's economic growth. Changes in the PCSI can affect financial markets, currency exchange rates, and impact decisions on monetary and fiscal policies.

The Thomson Reuters IPSOS Primary Consumer Sentiment Index (PCSI) is a monthly economic calendar event that provides valuable insight into consumer confidence and sentiment in Australia. This important indicator is closely monitored by market analysts, economists, and policymakers, as it has the potential to significantly impact the nation's economy.

Consisting of a comprehensive survey conducted by global research firm IPSOS in partnership with Thomson Reuters, the PCSI measures consumers' current and future outlooks on various economic factors. These include personal finances, employment prospects, investment climate, and overall economic conditions. A higher-than-expected result implies consumer optimism and increased spending, which can positively affect the growth of the Australian economy. Conversely, a lower-than-expected result signifies consumer pessimism, potentially leading to reduced spending and slower economic growth.

As a valuable tool for both short-term traders and long-term investors, the Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI is released in the middle of each month, and its results can significantly impact the Australian stock market, currency pair values (such as AUD/USD), and other local financial instruments. Therefore, keeping a close eye on this economic calendar event is crucial for those seeking to assess the health of the Australian economy and adjust their trading strategies accordingly.

The Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI, also known as the Primary Consumer Sentiment Index, is a monthly economic calendar event for Japan that measures the overall consumer sentiment in the country. It is an important and widely-watched indicator of consumer confidence, as it offers insights into the Japanese public's perception of the economy and their financial situation.

This index is calculated using a combination of data collected from numerous sources, including surveys and questionnaires conducted by Thomson Reuters and the global research firm IPSOS. These surveys ask a representative sample of the Japanese population about their views on various aspects of the economy, such as personal finance, job security, government policy, and overall economic conditions.

A higher than expected reading of the Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI generally indicates increased optimism among consumers, potentially signaling increased spending and a stronger economy. Conversely, a lower than expected reading may be a sign of decreased consumer confidence and potential economic slowdown.

Investors and analysts closely monitor the Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI, as it provides valuable information about the country's economic health and can influence government policy as well as financial markets, including currency values and the stock market. Positive consumer sentiment can lead to increased consumer spending, which boosts overall economic growth, while negative sentiment can dampen spending and slow the economy.

The Thomson Reuters Ipsos Monthly Global Primary Consumer Sentiment Index is a composite index of 11 questions that run monthly via online polls in the countries surveyed. The data output is based on the views of a fresh, randomly selected representative sample each month of primary consumers aged 18-64 in the US and Canada and aged 16-62 in other countries. Primary consumers are a comparable, standardized and weighted group in each country based on a minimum level of education and income. The eleven questions capture consumer views on: 1. Current overall economic situation in country 2. Current state of economy in local area 3. Expectations of local economy in six months 4. Current personal financial situation rating 5. Expectations of personal financial situation in six months 6. Comfort in making major purchases 7. Comfort in making other household purchases 8. Confidence about job security 9. Confidence in ability to invest in the future 10. Experience with job loss as a result of economic conditions 11. Expectations of job loss as a result of economic conditions

The consumer confidence index is based on interviews with consumers about their perceptions of the country's current and future economic situation and their tendencies to purchase. The performance of the economy of a country is reflected in macro-economic variables, such as the gross national product, external debt, interest rates, foreign exchange rates, imports, exports, stock market prices, inflation rates, real wages, unemployment rate, and so on. The state of the economy is also reflected in the micro-behavior of the consumers. The attitudes and behaviors of individual consumers affect the performance of the economy. For example, if they believe that the economy is heading in a certain direction, then they would make their savings or spending plans according.

Consumer Confidence measures the level of consumer confidence in economic activity. It is a leading indicator as it can predict consumer spending, which plays a major role in overall economic activity. A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the THB , while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the THB.

The Unemployment Rate measures the percentage of the total work force that is unemployed and actively seeking employment.

A higher than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the MYR, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the MYR.