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Economic Calendar
Monetary policy refers to the actions undertaken by a country's monetary authority, central bank or government to achieve certain national economic goals. It is based on the relationship between interest rates at which money can be borrowed and total supply of money. Policy rates are the most important rates within a country's monetary policy. These can be: deposit rates, lombard rates, rediscount rates, reference rates etc. Changing them influences economic growth, inflation, exchange rates and unemployment.
Monetary policy refers to the actions undertaken by a country's monetary authority, central bank or government to achieve certain national economic goals. It is based on the relationship between interest rates at which money can be borrowed and total supply of money. Policy rates are the most important rates within a country's monetary policy. These can be: deposit rates, lombard rates, rediscount rates, reference rates etc. Changing them influences economic growth, inflation, exchange rates and unemployment.
Fed Goolsbee Speaks is an economic event where the Federal Reserve representative, Austan Goolsbee, gives a speech or makes statements about the existing or upcoming economic and monetary policies of the United States. Austan Goolsbee is an esteemed economist who is known to address important aspects such as monetary policies, inflation, and interest rates. His speeches often move the market and give insights into the future decisions of the Federal Reserve.
Investors and traders keenly follow such events to understand the Fed's stance and adjust their investment strategies accordingly. Fed Goolsbee's words can lead to a wave of market volatility, creating trading opportunities. Therefore, it is an important event to keep a close watch on to understand the economic health and policy direction of the United States.
The Federal Budget Balance measures the difference in value between the federal government's income and expenditure during the reported month. A positive number indicates a budget surplus, a negative number indicates a deficit.
A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD.
The Banco de la Republica Colombia (Bank of Colombia) Monetary Policy Committee's decision on where to set the benchmark interest rate. Traders watch interest rate changes closely as short term interest rates are the primary factor in currency valuation.
A higher than expected rate is positive/bullish for the COP, while a lower than expected rate is negative/bearish for the COP.
The U.S. Treasury has been issuing Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) since 1997. TIPS provide investors with protection against inflation: the principal of the TIPS increases with inflation and decreases with deflation.
The Treasury sells these securities at regularly scheduled auctions. Competitive bids at these single-price auctions determine the interest rate paid on each issue, which remains fixed.
The Bank of England's (BoE) Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) Member Dhingra Speaks event is a public engagement where a key representative from the UK central bank addresses monetary policy issues, economic outlook, and other financial topics. In this case, Dr. Silvana Tenreyro, a distinguished economist and policy expert, shares her insights and opinions on the economy.
As an MPC member, Dr. Tenreyro plays a vital role in deciding the UK's interest rates, quantitative easing measures, and other monetary policies. During these speaking engagements, investors, economists, and analysts pay close attention to her comments, as they offer valuable insights into the committee's thinking and potential policy shifts. Thus, her remarks can influence market sentiment, exchange rates, and other financial instruments.
Revenue is the amount of money that is brought into a company by its business activities. In the case of government, revenue is the money received from taxation, fees, fines, inter-governmental grants or transfers, securities sales,mineral rights and resource rights, as well as any sales that are made.
A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the ARS, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the ARS.
The Producer Price Index (PPI) is designed to monitor changes in prices of items at the first important commercial transactions. The PPI shows the same general pattern of inflation as does Consumer price index, but is more volatile. This is because it is weighted more heavily towards goods that are traded in highly competitive markets and somewhat less sensitive to changes in the cost of labour. In principle, the PPI should include service industries. But in practice it is limited to the domestic agricultural and industrial sector. The prices should be farm-gate prices for the agricultural sector and ex-factory prices for the industrial sector. The PPI is worth watching as a leading indicator of inflation at the consumer level. Price changes at the wholesale level take time to work their way through to the retail store. A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the KRW , while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the KRW.
The Producer Price Index (PPI) is designed to monitor changes in prices of items at the first important commercial transactions. The PPI shows the same general pattern of inflation as does Consumer price index, but is more volatile. This is because it is weighted more heavily towards goods that are traded in highly competitive markets and somewhat less sensitive to changes in the cost of labour. In principle, the PPI should include service industries. But in practice it is limited to the domestic agricultural and industrial sector. The prices should be farm-gate prices for the agricultural sector and ex-factory prices for the industrial sector. The PPI is worth watching as a leading indicator of inflation at the consumer level. Price changes at the wholesale level take time to work their way through to the retail store. A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the KRW , while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the KRW.
Dr Catherine L Mann serves as a member of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) of the Bank of England. Her public engagements are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy.
The Fed balance sheet is a statement listing the assets and liabilities of the Federal Reserve System. Details of the Fed's balance sheet are disclosed by the Fed in a weekly report called "Factors Affecting Reserve Balances."
Reserve Balances with Federal Reserve Banks is the amount of money that depository institutions maintain in their accounts at their regional Federal Reserve Banks.
The exports number provides the total NZ dollar amount of merchandise exports.
A higher than expected number should be taken as positive to the NZD, while a lower than expected number as negative.
The Imports number measures any good or service brought into one country from another country in a legitimate fashion, typically for use in trade. Import goods or services are provided to domestic consumers by foreign producers.
A lower than expected number should be taken as positive to the NZD, while a higher than expected number as negative.
The Trade Balance measures the difference in value between imported and exported goods and services over the reported period. A positive number indicates that more goods and services were exported than imported.
A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the NZD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the NZD.
The Trade Balance measures the difference in value between imported and exported goods and services over the reported period. A positive number indicates that more goods and services were exported than imported.
A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the NZD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the NZD.
The Manufacturing & Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) provides a comprehensive indication of the economic health of the manufacturing and services sectors in Australia. This composite index is based on data collected from company purchasing managers and is considered an essential indicator of business conditions. It reflects factors such as new orders, inventory levels, production, supplier deliveries, and employment.
The PMI is an influential economic indicator because it gives insight into the prevailing direction of both sectors and can signal the overall economic trajectory of the nation. A PMI reading above 50 typically indicates expansion, whereas a reading below 50 suggests contraction. Economists, investors, and policymakers closely monitor this report to gauge performance and make informed decisions regarding policy and investments.
The Australian Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) measures the activity level of purchasing managers in the manufacturing sector. A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the sector; below indicates contraction. Traders watch these surveys closely as purchasing managers usually have early access to data about their company’s performance, which can be a leading indicator of overall economic performance. A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the AUD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the AUD.
The Judo Bank Services PMI (Purchasing Managers' Index) measures the performance of the service sector in Australia. It is an indicator of the economic health of the sector, which is vital as it comprises a significant portion of the economy. The index is derived from monthly surveys of purchasing managers in service-based companies, covering sectors like finance, insurance, real estate, transport, and communication.
A PMI above 50 signals expansion in the service sector, while a figure below 50 indicates contraction. Investors and policymakers closely monitor this data to assess economic growth, make business decisions, and formulate monetary policy. Fluctuations in the Services PMI can have significant implications for financial markets, as it reflects consumer demand and business activity levels within the Australian economy.
National Consumer Price Index before seasonal adjustment. Statistics Bureau of the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications announces this every month. A higher than expected result would be positive news for the yen, whilst a lower than expected result would be negative news for the yen.
The National Core Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers, excluding fresh food.
A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the JPY, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the JPY.
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the change in the price of goods and services from the perspective of the consumer. It is a key way to measure changes in purchasing trends.
The impact on the currency may go both ways, a rise in CPI may lead to a rise in interest rates and a rise in local currency, on the other hand, during recession, a rise in CPI may lead to a deepened recession and therefore a fall in local currency.
The current account is the international flow of money for purposes other than investments. It offers a broad picture of how an economy is managing its finances with the rest of the world. If a country has a deficit in its current account it means that it has a saving deficit. The country is living above its means and is gradually becoming indebted to the world. The current account consists of the net total of: - (BOP) TRADE BALANCE: Export f.o.b. less Imports c.i.f. - (BOP) GENERAL GOVERNMENT: This covers all government current expenditure and receipts not appropriated to trade balance or to other transactions. - (BOP) TRANSPORT: Sea Transport: Receipts and payments for freight, charter hire, passage money, oil bunkers, and other disbursements. - (BOP) INTEREST, PROFITS, AND DIVIDENDS - (BOP) TRANSFERS
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the change in the price of goods and services from the perspective of the consumer. It is a key way to measure changes in purchasing trends and inflation. The impact on the currency may go both ways, a rise in CPI may lead to a rise in interest rates and a rise in local currency, on the other hand, during recession, a rise in CPI may lead to a deepened recession and therefore a fall in local currency.
The Trade Balance measures the difference in value between imported and exported goods and services over the reported period. A positive number indicates that more goods and services were exported than imported.
A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the JPY, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the JPY.
This Exports number provides the total US dollar amount of merchandise exports on an f.o.b. (free on board) basis.. A higher than expected number should be taken as positive to the JPY, while a lower than expected number as negative
An import is any good or service brought into one country from another country in a legitimate fashion, typically for use in trade. Import goods or services are provided to domestic consumers by foreign producers. A lower than expected number should be taken as positive to the JPY while a higher than expected number as negative
The Trade Balance measures the difference in value between imported and exported goods and services over the reported period. A positive number indicates that more goods and services were exported than imported. A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the JPY , while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the JPY Anyways.
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) measures the annualized change in the inflation-adjusted value of all goods and services produced by the economy. It is the broadest measure of economic activity and the primary indicator of the economy's health.
A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the SGD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the SGD.
Gfk Consumer Confidence measures the level of consumer confidence in economic activity. A reading above zero indicates optimism; below indicates pessimism.
A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the GBP, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the GBP.
The Manufacturing & Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) is a critical economic indicator for Japan, providing insights into the performance and health of the manufacturing and services sectors. Released monthly, this composite index is derived from surveys of purchasing managers across the country, covering variables such as new orders, inventory levels, production, supplier deliveries, and employment.
A PMI reading above 50 indicates expansion in the sector, while a reading below 50 suggests contraction. The Manufacturing PMI focuses on production-related activities, while the Services PMI assesses business activity in the service sector. Together, they offer a comprehensive view of economic conditions, helping investors, analysts, and policymakers gauge economic health and make informed decisions.
The Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) measures the activity level of purchasing managers in the manufacturing sector. A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the sector; below 50 indicates contraction. Traders watch these surveys closely as purchasing managers usually have early access to data about their company’s performance, which can be a leading indicator of overall economic performance.
A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the JPY, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the JPY.
The au Jibun Bank Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) is a key indicator of the economic health of Japan's service sector. Compiled by IHS Markit and published by au Jibun Bank, this index measures the activity levels of purchasing managers in the service industry. A PMI reading above 50 signifies expansion in the sector, while a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
The index considers factors such as new business, employment, supplier delivery times, and inventories. It provides insights into various service industries, including finance, real estate, and communications, among others. Market participants watch this PMI closely as it can offer early signals about economic conditions and future GDP growth in Japan.
Credit Card Spending measures the change in the credit card spending by individuals. It is closely correlated with consumer spending and confidence.
A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the NZD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the NZD.
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the change in the price of goods and services from the perspective of the consumer. It is a key way to measure changes in purchasing trends.
A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the GBP, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the GBP.
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the change in the price of goods and services from the perspective of the consumer. It is a key way to measure changes in purchasing trends.
The impact on the currency may go both ways, a rise in CPI may lead to a rise in interest rates and a rise in local currency, on the other hand, during recession, a rise in CPI may lead to a deepened recession and therefore a fall in local currency.
Monetary aggregates, known also as "money supply", is the quantity of currency available within the economy to purchase goods and services. Depending on the degree of liquidity chosen to define an asset as money, various monetary aggregates are distinguished: M0, M1, M2, M3, M4, etc. Not all of them are used by every country. Note that methodology of calculating money supply varies between countries. M2 is a monetary aggregate that includes all physical currency circulating in the economy (banknotes and coins), operational deposits in central bank, money in current accounts, saving accounts, money market deposits and small certificates of deposit. Excess money supply growth potentially can cause inflation and generate fears that the government may tighten money growth by allowing the interest rates to rise which in turn, lowers future prices. M2 = Currency in circulation + demand deposits (private sector) + time and savings deposits (private sector).
The Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) is a composite indicator designed to provide an overall view of activity in the manufacturing sector and acts as an leading indicator for the whole economy. The PMI is a composite index based on the diffusion indexes for the following five indicators and their weight: New orders - 0.3, Output - 0.25 , Employment - 0.2, Suppliers delivery times - 0.15 and Stock of items purchased - 0.1 with the Delivery times index inverted so that it moves in a comparable direction. When PMI is below 50.0 this indicates that the manufacturing economy is declining and a value above 50.0 indicates an expansion of the manufacturing economy. The individual survey indexes have been seasonally adjusted using the US Bureau of Census X-11 programme. The seasonally adjusted series are then used to calculate the seasonally adjusted PMI. A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the INR , while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the INR.
The Indian HSBC Services PMI is compiled by questionnaires sent to purchasing executives in around 350 private service sector companies. The panel has been carefully selected to accurately replicate the true structure of the services economy. Index and the Services Business Activity Index, and is based on original survey data collected from a representative panel of over 800 companies based in the Indian manufacturing and service sectors. A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the INR , while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the INR.
The Manufacturing & Services PMI (Purchasing Managers' Index) in India is a set of indicators measuring the economic health of the manufacturing and services sectors. PMI data is compiled through surveys of purchasing managers in both sectors, focusing on metrics such as output, new orders, employment, suppliers' delivery times, and inventories of purchased goods. A PMI above 50 indicates expansion, while a reading below 50 suggests contraction.
In India, these indices provide insights into business conditions and the economic outlook, influencing policy decisions by the government and the central bank. They are key leading indicators of economic performance and are closely watched by economists, traders, and investors. Regular releases of PMI data help in understanding economic trends, thus playing a vital role in economic forecasting and strategic planning by businesses and investors.
Retail Sales measure the change in the total value of inflation-adjusted sales at the retail level. It is the foremost indicator of consumer spending, which accounts for the majority of overall economic activity. The Core number excludes Auto sales and Fuel, which tend to be very volatile.
A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the GBP while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the GBP.
Retail Sales measure the change in the total value of inflation-adjusted sales at the retail level. It is the foremost indicator of consumer spending, which accounts for the majority of overall economic activity. The Core number excludes Auto sales and Fuel, which tend to be very volatile.
A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the GBP while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the GBP.
The public sector consists of central government, local authorities and public corporations. The net cash requirement measures the public sectors need to raisecash trough selling debt or running down its liquid financial assets. The publicsector net cash requirement equals the central government net cash requirement (including borrowing from the market for on-lending to local authorities and public corporations) plus local authorities contributions. I.e. their market andoverseas borrowing, measured net of their purchases of other public sector debt.
Retail Sales measure the change in the total value of inflation-adjusted sales at the retail level. It is the foremost indicator of consumer spending, which accounts for the majority of overall economic activity.
A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the GBP, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the GBP.
Retail Sales measure the change in the total value of inflation-adjusted sales at the retail level. It is the foremost indicator of consumer spending, which accounts for the majority of overall economic activity.
A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the GBP, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the GBP.
Capacity utilization is the extent to which a country actually uses its potential production capacity. 100% denotes full capacity being used. This indicator rises as a response to market demand growth. If demand weakens, capacity utilization will diminish. Capacity utilization is a useful indicator of inflation pressures. It is believed that capacity utilization above 82-85% propels price inflation. All else constant, the lower capacity utilization falls(relative to the trend capacity utilization rate), the better the bond market reacts to it. Strong capacity utilization (above the trend rate) leads to bonds being sold off, as investors expect higher interest rates (which decreases bond prices) to offset the higher expected rate of inflation.
M3 Money Supply measures the change in the total quantity of domestic currency in circulation and deposited in banks. An increasing supply of money leads to additional spending, which in turn leads to inflation.
Changes in the volume of the physical output of the nation's factories, minesand utilities are measured by the index of industrial production. The figure is calculated as a weighted aggregate of goods and reported in headlines as a percent change from previous months. It is often adjusted by season or weather conditions and thus volatile. However, it is used as a leading indicator and helps in forecasting GDP changes. Rising industrial production figures signify increasing economic growth and can positively influence the sentiment towards local currency.
Changes in the volume of the physical output of the nation's factories, minesand utilities are measured by the index of industrial production. The figure is calculated as a weighted aggregate of goods and reported in headlines as a percent change from previous months. It is often adjusted by season or weather conditions and thus volatile. However, it is used as a leading indicator and helps in forecasting GDP changes. Rising industrial production figures signify increasing economic growth and can positively influence the sentiment towards local currency.