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Economic Calendar
Friday, 15 August
The Unemployment Rate measures the percentage of the total work force that is unemployed and actively seeking employment during the previous month.
Commodity flows between the Norwegian statistical territory and other countries.The Norwegian statistical territory comprises the Norwegian customs territory, the Norwegian part of the continental shelf, Svalbard, Björnöya and Jan Mayen. Imports comprise goods that are declared directly at the border crossing or via a customs' warehouse. Imports of ships and oil platforms are transactions where a vessel is transferred from a foreign to a Norwegian company as registered owner of the vessel. Exports comprise goods declared for exports directly from free circulation and from customs warehouses. Exports of ships and oil platforms are transactions where a vessel is transferred from a Norwegian to a foreign company as registered owner of the vessel. In the external trade statistics the term ""traditional goods"" means goods exclusive of ships and oil platforms and exports also exclusive of crude oil and natural gas. A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the NOK , while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the NOK.
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The End Year Consumer Price Index (CPI) Forecast is an important economic indicator for Turkey. It provides an estimation of the inflation rate by the end of a given year. The inflation rate is an essential component of a country's economy, representing the overall change in the price level of goods and services over a specific period, typically a year.
Investors, policymakers, and businesses pay close attention to the End Year CPI Forecast as it helps them make informed decisions regarding their investment strategies, monetary policies, and pricing adjustments to better cope with potential changes in the inflation rate. Higher inflation rates may lead to increased interest rates and reduced consumer spending, affecting the overall economic growth. Conversely, lower inflation rates can stimulate economic growth through lower interest rates and increased consumption.
Overall, the End Year CPI Forecast serves as a crucial economic tool for Turkey, allowing various stakeholders to anticipate and react to changes in the inflation rate and make necessary adjustments for a stable and growing economy.
Core quantifies growth rate of price level on incomplete consumer basket. From the consumer basket there are excluded the items with regulated prices and items with prices influenced by other administrative measurements. The items that will be changed due to tax amendments (e.g. changes in VAT, excise taxes) remain in the consumer basket, but the influence of tax amendmentsis eliminated.
Core quantifies growth rate of price level on incomplete consumer basket. From the consumer basket there are excluded the items with regulated prices and items with prices influenced by other administrative measurements. The items that will be changed due to tax amendments (e.g. changes in VAT, excise taxes) remain in the consumer basket, but the influence of tax amendmentsis eliminated.
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the change in the price of goods and services from the perspective of the consumer. It is a key way to measure changes in purchasing trends.
A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the EUR , while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the EUR.
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the change in the price of goods and services from the perspective of the consumer. It is a key way to measure changes in purchasing trends.
A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the EUR , while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the EUR.
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) measures the annualized change in the inflation-adjusted value of all goods and services produced by the economy. It is the broadest measure of economic activity and the primary indicator of the economy's health.
A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the CHF, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the CHF.
Foreign capital actually utilized refers to the amount which has been actually used according to the agreements and contracts, including cash, materials and invisible capital such as labour service and technology which both parties agree to take as an investment.
A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the CNY , while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the CNY.
Net Forward Position= Bank of Thailand s forward obligations to buy (+) or sell;(-) foreign currency against Thai Baht A swap that involves the exchange of principal and interest in one currency for the same in another currency. It is considered to be a foreign exchange transaction and is not required by law to be shown on a company's balance sheet.
Total of a country's gold holdings and convertible foreign currencies held in its central bank. Usually includes foreign currencies themselves, other assets denominated in foreign currencies, and particular amount of special drawing rights (SDRs). A foreign exchange reserve is a useful precaution for countries exposed to financial crises. It can be used for the purpose of intervening in the exchange market to influence or peg the exchange rate. International reserves = Gold Foreign exchange Special Drawing Rights Reserve position in the IMF.
Turkish Budget Balance is a legal document that forecasts the government expenditures and revenues for a specific period of time. The period covered by a budget is usually a year, known as a financial or fiscal year, which may or may not correspond with the calendar year. A government budget is often passed by the legislature, and approved by the chief executive or president.
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) measures the annualized change in the inflation-adjusted value of all goods and services produced by the economy. It is the broadest measure of economic activity and the primary indicator of the economy's health.
A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the TWD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the TWD.
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) measures the annualized change in the inflation-adjusted value of all goods and services produced by the economy. It is the broadest measure of economic activity and the primary indicator of the economy's health.
A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the HKD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the HKD.
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) measures the annualized change in the inflation-adjusted value of all goods and services produced by the economy. It is the broadest measure of economic activity and the primary indicator of the economy's health. A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the HKD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the HKD.
The official reserve assets are assets denominated in foreign currency, readily available to and controlled by monetary authorities for meeting balance of payments financing needs, intervening in exchange markets to affect the currency exchange rate, and for other related purposes (such as maintaining confidence in the currency and the economy, and serving as a basis for foreign borrowing). They present a very comprehensive picture on a monthly basis of stocks at market price, transactions, foreign exchange and market revaluations and other changes in volume.
The FX reserve is an extremely pivotal indicator of Angola's economic stability. The Foreign Exchange Reserves are assets, commonly in a foreign currency, retained by Angola's central bank (the National Bank of Angola). They come from balance of payments surpluses, official aid, and borrowings on foreign markets.
The reserves are used to back liabilities and influence monetary policy. They include foreign banknotes, deposits, bonds, treasury bills, and other foreign government securities. Establishing whether these reserves are increasing or decreasing can be a valuable measurement of economic health, assisting in assessing the nation's ability to manage economic downturns.
The ECOFIN Meetings, also known as Economic and Financial Affairs Council Meetings, are crucial gatherings comprised of economic and financial ministers from the Eurozone. These meetings aim to discuss, analyze, and refine financial policies, economic initiatives, and budgetary decisions that impact the Eurozone. Significant topics typically addressed in these sessions include taxation, fiscal policy, public expenditure, and regulatory reforms related to economic stability and growth.
Decisions made during ECOFIN Meetings can influence the economic trajectory of the Eurozone, often resulting in fluctuations in the Euro currency and the overall financial market. Market participants pay close attention to announcements, statements, and reports emerging from these meetings as they can provide insight into the overall direction of the region's economy and the potential impact on investments and businesses operating within the Eurozone.
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the change in the price of goods and services from the perspective of the consumer. It is a key way to measure changes in purchasing trends.
All goods and services intended for consumption including applicable taxes and fees on the product at the time of sales are included in the survey. The impact on the currency may go both ways, a rise in CPI may lead to a rise in interest rates and a rise in local currency, on the other hand, during recession, a rise in CPI may lead to a deepened recession and therefore a fall in local currency.
The CPI indicator measures the change in prices which consumers must pay for a fixed basket of consumption goods and services in urban areas. All goods and services intended for consumption including applicable taxes and fees on the product at the time of sales are included in the survey. A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the ILS , while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the ILS.
CPI based on the prices of a union market basket of commodities purchased and consumed by a representatives set of households in selected centers from all over the country, especially since the indices from one centre to another made comparability difficult. consumer price index to measure average change in the price of goods and services purchased by the specified groups of consumers.
The rate at which the general level of prices for goods and services is rising, and, subsequently, purchasing power is falling. Central banks attempt to stop severe inflation, along with severe deflation, in an attempt to keep the excessive growth of prices to a minimum.
Bank Loan Growth measures the change in the total value of outstanding bank loans issued to consumers and businesses. Borrowing and spending are closely correlated with consumer confidence. A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the INR , while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the INR.
Deposit Growth is an important economic calendar event in India that reflects the percentage change in the total value of deposits held by various institutions, such as commercial banks, credit unions, and thrifts over a specific period. The growth in deposits indicates an increase in investment, potential savings, and liquidity in the market, which are crucial factors for a stable and growing economy.
Higher deposit growth often signals increased consumer confidence and a positive outlook on the economy, while slower growth may point towards a weaker economic environment or uncertainties. Policymakers, investors, and financial institutions closely monitor deposit growth rates to make informed decisions related to monetary policies and investment strategies.
International reserves are used to settle balance of payments deficits between countries. International reserves are made up of foreign currency assets, gold, holdings of SDRs and reserve position in the IMF. Usually includes foreign currencies themselves, other assets denominated in foreign currencies, and particular amount of special drawing rights (SDRs). A foreign exchange reserve is a useful precaution for countries exposed to financial crises. It can be used for the purpose of intervening in the exchange market to influence or peg the exchange rate. A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the INR , while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the INR.
GDP measures the summary value of goods and services generated in a relevant country or region. A region's gross domestic product, or GDP, is one of the ways for measuring the size of its economy. Expenditure approach - Total expenditures on all finished goods and services produced within the economy. Calculation: GDP using the expenditure approach is derived as the sum of all final expenditures, changes in inventories and exports of goods and services less imports of goods and services. Market influence of GDP: Unexpectedly high quarterly GDP growth is perceived to be potentially inflationary if the economy is close to full capacity; this, in turn, causes bond prices to drop and yields and interest rates to rise. As far as the stock market is concerned, higher than expected growth leads to higher profits and that's good for the stock market.
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) measures the annualized change in the inflation-adjusted value of all goods and services produced by the economy. It is the broadest measure of economic activity and the primary indicator of the economy's health. A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the BHD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the BHD.
Core Retail Sales measures the change in the total value of sales at the retail level in the U.S., excluding automobiles. It is an important indicator of consumer spending and is also considered as a pace indicator for the U.S. economy.
A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD.
Export price tracks price changes of U.S. export goods. The figure is used to determine whether a change in the headline Export figure is representative of an increase of goods sold to foreign nations or just an increase in the price of export goods. United States exports account for approximately a tenth of the nation’s GDP. The headline figure is the percentage change in the index from either the previous month or year. A higher than expected number should be taken as positive to the USD, while a lower than expected number as negative.
The Import Price Index measures the change in the price of imported goods and services purchased domestically.
A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD.
The Empire State Manufacturing Index rates the relative level of general business conditions New York state. A level above 0.0 indicates improving conditions, below indicates worsening conditions. The reading is compiled from a survey of about 200 manufacturers in New York state.
A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD.
Retail Control is an important economic calendar event for the United States that measures the overall health of the retail sector. The data for this event is generally released on a monthly basis and provides insights into consumer spending behavior, as well as retail sales trends.
This event highlights the total value of sales at the retail level, excluding sales from automobiles and fuel stations. By monitoring the activity of the retail sector, analysts and investors can gauge the strength of consumer spending, which is a critical component of the economy.
Strong retail control figures indicate robust consumer spending and a growing economy, while weaker retail control results suggest that consumers may be cutting back on spending, which could signal a slowdown in economic growth. As a result, the Retail Control event is keenly watched by market participants to assess the potential impact on financial markets and the overall economy.
Retail Sales measure the change in the total value of sales at the retail level. It is the foremost indicator of consumer spending, which accounts for the majority of overall economic activity.
A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD.
Retail Sales measure the change in the total value of sales at the retail level. It is the foremost indicator of consumer spending, which accounts for the majority of overall economic activity. A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD.
Retail sales data represents total consumer purchase from retail stores. It provides valuable information about consumer spending which makes up the consumption part of GDP. The most volatile components like autos, gas prices andfood prices are often removed from the report to show more underlying demand patterns as changes in sales in these categories are frequently a result of price changes. It is not adjusted for inflation. Spending on services is not included. Rising retail sales indicate stronger economic growth. However, if theincrease is larger than forecast, it may be inflationary.
Manufacturing Sales measures the change in the overall value of sales made at the manufacturing level.
A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the CAD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the CAD.
Wholesale Sales measures the change in the total value of sales at the wholesale level. It is a leading indicator of consumer spending.
A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the CAD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the CAD.
Export price tracks price changes of U.S. export goods. The figure is used to determine whether a change in the headline Export figure is representative of an increase of goods sold to foreign nations or just an increase in the price of export goods. United States exports account for approximately a tenth of the nation’s GDP. The headline figure is the percentage change in the index from either the previous month or year. A higher than expected number should be taken as positive to the USD, while a lower than expected number as negative.
The Import Price Index measures the change in the price of imported goods and services purchased domestically. A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD.
New Motor Vehicle Sales measures the change in the number of new cars and trucks sold domestically. It is an important indicator of consumer spending is closely correlated to consumer confidence.
A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the CAD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the CAD.
The Capacity Utilization Rate is the percentage of production capacity being utilized in the U.S.(available resources includes factories, mines and utilities). Capacity Utilization reflects overall growth and demand in the economy. It can also act as a leading indicator of consumer price inflation.
A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD.
Industrial Production measures the change in the total inflation-adjusted value of output produced by manufacturers, mines, and utilities. A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD.
Industrial Production measures the change in the total inflation-adjusted value of output produced by manufacturers, mines, and utilities.
A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD.
Manufacturing Production measures the change in the total inflation-adjusted value of output produced by manufacturers.
A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD.
Business Inventories measures the change in the worth of unsold goods held by manufacturers, wholesalers, and retailers. A high reading can indicate a lack of consumer demand.
A higher than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD.
The Michigan 1-Year Inflation Expectations is an economic indicator derived from the monthly Survey of Consumers conducted by the University of Michigan. This particular metric focuses on the respondents' expectations for the inflation rate in the United States over the next 12 months.
Participants are asked to provide their personal views on the anticipated percentage change in prices for goods and services in the coming year. The resulting figure is considered an important gauge of consumer sentiment regarding the overall health of the US economy, with higher expectations of inflation often pointing to concerns about economic growth.
As a forward-looking indicator, the Michigan 1-Year Inflation Expectations can provide valuable insights for economists, policymakers, and market participants, helping to inform decisions related to interest rates, monetary policy, and investment strategies.
The University of Michigan Inflation Expectations survey of consumers presents the median expected price changes for the next 5 years.
A reading that is stronger than forecast is generally supportive (bullish) for the USD, while a weaker than forecast reading is generally negative (bearish) for the USD.
The Michigan sentiment index includes two major components, a "current conditions" component and an "expectations" component. The current conditions component index is based on the answers to two standard questions and the expectations component index is based on three standard questions. This number is the expectations part of the overall index. A higher than expected number should be taken as positive to the USD, while a lower than expected number as negative. This is the final number.
The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index rates the relative level of current and future economic conditions. There are two versions of this data released two weeks apart, preliminary and revised. The preliminary data tends to have a greater impact. The reading is compiled from a survey of around 500 consumers.
A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD.
The Michigan sentiment index includes two major components, a "current conditions" component and an "expectations" component. The current conditions component index is based on the answers to two standard questions and the expectations component index is based on three standard questions. All five questions have equal weight in determining the overall index. A higher than expected number should be taken as positive to the USD, while a lower than expected number as negative. This is the final number. This is the preliminary number.
