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Freitag, 26 Februar
2021-02-26
Private Sector Credit (Jan)

Private Sector Credit released by the Reserve Bank of Australia is an amount of money that the Australian private sector borrows.

Vorherig
0.3% m/m;
1.8% y/y
Prognose
0.3% m/m;
1.9% y/y
Aktuell
0.2% m/m;
1.7% y/y
2021-02-26
Housing Starts (Jan)

The Housing Starts figure reflects the rate of growth in housing construction. The number of housing starts is an indicator of the strength of Japan 's construction sector and a leading indicator for the direction of the economy as a whole. Housing Starts respond quickly to changes in the business cycle, promptly slowing at the onset of a recession and growing at the beginning of an economic boom. A high Housing Starts figure is generally bullish for the economy, as it indicates overall economic growth.

The headline figures are the year on year percentage change in value of housing starts, and the value of all houses started for construction that year.

Vorherig
0.784M;
-9.0%
Prognose
0.799M;
-1.8%
Aktuell
0.801M;
-3.1%
2021-02-26
Import Price Index (Jan)

This index measures changes in the prices of imports into a country per month.

Vorherig
0.6% m/m;
-3.4% y/y
Prognose
1.1% m/m;
-2.1% y/y
Aktuell
1.9% m/m;
-1.2% y/y
2021-02-26
Nationwide House Price Index (Feb)

Gauge for costs of homes in the United Kingdom. Mortgage data is used to provide a timely measure of the level of prices. House prices give good information current conditions in the housing market. The Index can precurse broader inflationary pressures felt in later more market moving reports should housing price pressures feed into consumer prices.
 

Vorherig
-0.3% m/m;
6.4% y/y
Prognose
0.2% m/m;
6.5% y/y
Aktuell
-
2021-02-26
Retail Sales (Jan)

Gauge for goods sold at retail outlets in the past month. Retail Sales is a leading indicator for the Swiss economy since private consumption makes up a large portion of Swiss Gross Domestic Product. Rising consumer spending fuels economic growth, confirms signals from consumer confidence, and may spark inflationary pressures.

The headline figure is expressed as the percentage change from the same month last year.

Vorherig
4.7%
Prognose
-
Aktuell
-
2021-02-26
GDP (4 quarter)

The Gross Domestic Product is a comprehensive measure of an overall production and consumption of goods and services. GDP serves as one of the primary measures of overall economic well-being. While GDP announcements generally conform to expectations, unanticipated changes in this metric can move markets.

Robust GDP growth signals a heightened level of economic activity and often a higher demand for the domestic currency. At the same time, economic expansion raises concerns about inflationary pressures which may lead monetary authorities to increase interest rates. Thus better than expected GDP figures are generally bullish for the Euro, while negative readings are generally bearish.

Technically, Gross Domestic Product is calculated in the following way:

GDP = C + I + G + (EX - IM)

where

C = private consumption, I = private investment, G = government expenditure, EX = exports of goods and services, IM = imports of goods and services.

French GDP figures, officially called Quarterly National Accounts, are released quarterly. The headline figures are annualized percentage changes in real and nominal GDP.

Vorherig
-1.3% q/q;
-5.0% y/y
Prognose
-1.3% q/q;
-5.0% y/y
Aktuell
-1.4% q/q;
-4.9% y/y
2021-02-26
Consumer Spending (Jan)

Change in the total value of inflation-adjusted goods expenditures by consumers.

Vorherig
22.4%
Prognose
-3.5%
Aktuell
-4.6%
2021-02-26
Consumer Price Index (Feb)

Assesses changes in the cost of living by measuring changes in the prices of consumer items. The CPI is the headline inflation figure that indicates the strength of domestic inflationary pressures. Simply put, inflation reflects a decline in the purchasing power of the Euro in France , where each Euro buys fewer goods and services. CPI is the most popular way to measure changes in purchasing power. The report tracks changes in the price of a basket of goods and services that a typical French household might purchase. An increase in the index indicates that it takes more Euros to purchase the same set of basic consumer items.

Vorherig
0.2% m/m;
0.6% y/y
Prognose
-0.3% m/m;
0.3% y/y
Aktuell
-0.1% m/m;
0.4% y/y
2021-02-26
KOF Economic Barometer (Feb)

The Swiss KOF Economic Barometer is a leading indicator which measures overall economic activity and is an excellent indicator of the direction of the Swiss economy. The KOF Economic Barometer is one or two quarters ahead of the GDP growth rate of the previous year and thus enables an initial estimate to be made of how the Swiss economy will perform in the next or in the next two quarters.

The Barometer is ultimately adjusted to take account of seasonal fluctuations and random factors. The Barometer is published monthly.

Vorherig
96.5
Prognose
96.5
Aktuell
102.7
2021-02-26
Gross Domestic Product (4 quarter)

The Gross Domestic Product is a comprehensive measure of an overall production and consumption of goods and services. GDP serves as one of the primary measures of overall economic well-being. GDP announcements generally conform to expectations as the number comes out after most production figures that lead to overall GDP have already been released. Although releases that are out of line with expectations are rare, unanticipated GDP growth can move markets simply because of its significance as an economic indicator.

Vorherig
7.6% q/q;
-1.4% y/y
Prognose
0.0% q/q;
-2.1% y/y
Aktuell
0.3% q/q;
-1.6% y/y
2021-02-26
CPI (Feb)

Assesses changes in the cost of living by measuring changes in the prices of consumer items. The CPI is the headline inflation figure that indicates the strength of domestic inflationary pressures.

Vorherig
0.5%
Prognose
0.6%
Aktuell
0.0%
2021-02-26
ECB Executive Board Member Isabelle Schnabel to deliver a speech

Isabelle Schnabel has been on the governing board since 2020. Prior to that, she was professor of financial economics and member of the German Council of Economic Experts. Her comments may have an impact on the quotes of the single currency, as she participates in the formation of monetary policy. Traders and investors, based on her comments, are trying to determine what the next step of the ECB will be.

Vorherig
-
Prognose
-
Aktuell
-
2021-02-26
MPC Member Andy Haldane Speaks

Andy Haldane is the Chief Economist at the Bank of England and also a voting member of the Bank’s Monetary Policy Committee since June 2014 until May 2017. He was acknowledged as being one amongst the world's 100 most influential people. His speeches are mainly focused on financial stability, monetary issues and market risks. All these topics may provide markets with a direction in the regulator’s situation assessment and its further actions.

Vorherig
-
Prognose
-
Aktuell
-
2021-02-26
BOE Deputy Governor for Markets & Banking Sir David Ramsden Speaks

BOE MPC members vote on where to set the nation's key interest rates and their public engagements are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy

Vorherig
-
Prognose
-
Aktuell
-
2021-02-26
Industrial Product Price Index (Jan)

Industrial Product Price Index released by the Statistics Canada measures price changes for major commodities sold by Canadian manufactures. Changes in the IPP index are widely followed as an indicator of commodity inflation.

Vorherig
1.7%
Prognose
2.0%
Aktuell
2.0%
2021-02-26
Raw Materials Price Index (Jan)

Measures the prices paid by Canadian manufacturers for key raw materials, including resources not produced in Canada. Also known as the Producer Price Index, the RMPI is an early measure of inflation. Although producers may not pass on changes in raw material prices to consumers immediately, the index will record these cost pressures before they reach the end consumer and affect inflation rates. The headline figure is the percentage change in the price index from the previous month and year.

The index includes prices for raw materials like mineral fuels, vegetable products, animal and animal products, wood, ferrous materials, non-ferrous metals, and non-metallic minerals.
 

Vorherig
3.5%
Prognose
2.9%
Aktuell
5.7%
2021-02-26
PCE Core (Jan)

Comprehensive measure of how much consumers spend each month, counting expenditures on durable goods, consumer products, and services. Personal Consumption is a comprehensive measure of GDP; consequently the figure is watched as an indicator for economic trends. Spending also has direct affect on inflationary pressures.

A healthy Personal Spending figure means that consumers are buying goods and services, fueling the economy and spurring output growth. The report is particularly valued for forecasting inflationary pressures. Taken in excess these high levels of consumption and production may lead to an overall increase in prices. Indeed, the Fed uses a measure of inflation derived from the PCE as their primary gauge of inflation.

On the other hand, persistently low Personal Spending may result in decreasing levels of output and an economic downturn.

Because income is either spent or saved, Personal Spending (when reported as a percent of income rather than the headline percent change) has an inverse relationship to personal saving. Economists watch the growth of Personal Spending in relation to income and saving to determine if consumers are living beyond their means, which would influence levels of borrowing and future consumption.

The PCE figure is released in headlines as a percent change from the previous month.

Core Personal Consumption Expenditure
Volatile items like food and energy can fluctuate widely due to seasonal and non-systemic factors. In order to provide a less erratic picture of Personal Consumption, food and energy items are excluded in the PCE core report.

The headline figure of PCE is expressed in percentage change in spending for the quarter.

Note: The Personal Consumption Expenditure figure is reported with the Personal Income and Outlays figure.

Vorherig
0.3% m/m;
1.4% y/y
Prognose
0.1% m/m;
1.4% y/y
Aktuell
0.3% m/m;
1.5% y/y
2021-02-26
Personal Spending (Jan)

Comprehensive measure of how much consumers spend each month, counting expenditures on durable goods, consumer products, and services. Personal Consumption is a comprehensive measure of GDP; consequently the figure is watched as an indicator for economic trends. Spending also has direct affect on inflationary pressures.

A healthy Personal Spending figure means that consumers are buying goods and services, fueling the economy and spurring output growth. The report is particularly valued for forecasting inflationary pressures. Taken in excess these high levels of consumption and production may lead to an overall increase in prices. Indeed, the Fed uses a measure of inflation derived from the PCE as their primary gauge of inflation.

On the other hand, persistently low Personal Spending may result in decreasing levels of output and an economic downturn.

Because income is either spent or saved, Personal Spending (when reported as a percent of income rather than the headline percent change) has an inverse relationship to personal saving. Economists watch the growth of Personal Spending in relation to income and saving to determine if consumers are living beyond their means, which would influence levels of borrowing and future consumption.

The PCE figure is released in headlines as a percent change from the previous month.

Vorherig
-0.4%
Prognose
2.6%
Aktuell
2.4%
2021-02-26
Personal Income (Jan)

Broad gauge of employee earnings in the US . Personal Income measures the pre-tax income households receive from employment, investments, and transfer payments. As wages and salaries make up the majority of Personal Income, the figure can provide insight on the US employment situation. However, because Personal Income is released after the headline employment figure and earnings figures, its impact on the market is muted. The figure is still useful in gauging the purchasing ability of consumers, though, as rising Personal Income allows for strong consumers spending. Such spending drives output growth and fuels the US economy.

Vorherig
0.6%
Prognose
9.4%
Aktuell
10.0%
2021-02-26
Goods Trade Balance (Jan)

Since July 2015, the US Bureau of Economic Analysis has started publishing preliminary estimate of goods trade balance. This release will be 4-7 earlier than trade balance data. Growth in the reading favors the US dollar.

Vorherig
-83.2bln
Prognose
-83.0bln
Aktuell
-83.7bln
2021-02-26
Wholesale Inventories (Jan)

The stock of unsold goods held by wholesalers. Wholesalers act as intermediaries between manufacturers or importers, and retailers. Wholesalers sell directly to retailers, who strive to act in accordance (ideally) with consumer demand. Consequently, high Wholesale Inventories indicate that unsold goods are piling up, suggesting that retailers are facing lagging consumer demand and unwilling to purchase goods. Conversely, declining Wholesale Inventories suggest retailers are buying more goods to meet strong or rising demand. Because Wholesale Inventories reflect the demand retailers have for their manufacturers' wares, the report offers an early indication of the potential strength of consumer spending.

Wholesale Inventories are reported in headlines as a percent change from the previous month.

Vorherig
0.5%
Prognose
0.3%
Aktuell
1.3%
2021-02-26
Chicago Purchasing Managers Index (Feb)

Monthly measure of the business conditions based on surveys of purchasing managers across Illinois, Indiana and Michigan. Released on the last business day of the reporting month, the report's significance has recently declined, with its only significance being that it precedes the more anticipated ISM report. Subsequently, it is used to predict the ISM report as the Chicago survey retains a high correlation with the broader economic release.

Referring to a benchmark of 50, the report is considered to reflect expansion when printing a reading of 50 or higher. Conversely, a reading of 49 and lower would be indicative of contraction.

Vorherig
63.8
Prognose
61.0
Aktuell
59.5
2021-02-26
Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index (Feb)

Assesses consumer confidence regarding personal finances, business conditions and purchasing power based on hundreds of telephone surveys. Especially valued for its quick turnaround, the University of Michigan Confidence survey is considered one of the foremost indicators of US consumer sentiment. The survey polls a smaller sample of consumers and is less established than the Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index.

Declining consumer confidence levels usually accompany any fall income or wages and precede drops in consumer spending. A low or falling sentiment value is considered an early indicator of an economic downturn. As a result, investors, retailers and traders alike all watch the figure for insight into the general health of the economy. The University of Michigan figures have recently preceded turning in overall GDP.

The headline figure is calculated by subtracting the percentage of unfavorable replies from the percentage of favorable replies.

Vorherig
76.2
Prognose
76.5
Aktuell
76.8
2021-02-26
UoM Inflation Expectations (Feb)

The Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index released by the University of Michigan is a survey of personal consumer confidence in economic activity. It shows a picture of whether or not consumers are willing to spend money. Generally speaking, a high reading anticipates positive (or bullish) for the USD, while a low reading is seen as negative (or bearish).

Vorherig
3.3%;
2.7%
Prognose
-
Aktuell
3.3%;
2.7%
2021-02-26
Baker Hughes U.S. Rig Count (Feb)

The Baker Hughes rig count is an important business barometer for the oil drilling industry. When drilling rigs are active they consume products and services produced by the oil service industry. The active rig count acts as a leading indicator of demand for oil products.

Vorherig
397
Prognose
-
Aktuell
402
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