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Economic Calendar
The Energy Information Administration (EIA) Natural Gas Storage report measures the change in the number of cubic feet of natural gas held in underground storage during the past week.
While this is a U.S. indicator it tends to have a greater impact on the Canadian dollar, due to Canada's sizable energy sector.
If the increase in natural gas inventories is more than expected, it implies weaker demand and is bearish for natural gas prices. The same can be said if a decline in inventories is less than expected.
If the increase in natural gas is less than expected, it implies greater demand and is bullish for natural gas prices. The same can be said if a decline in inventories is more than expected.
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) measures the annualized change in the inflation-adjusted value of all goods and services produced by the economy. It is the broadest measure of economic activity and the primary indicator of the economy''s health. A stronger than expected number should be taken as positive for the RUB and a lower than expected number as negative to the RUB. This is the preliminary reading
Non-financial public sector (National administration, state-owned companies and former provincial pension funds). Cash basis.
The BOC Summary of Deliberations is a document released by the Bank of Canada (BoC) after each monetary policy meeting. It provides investors and analysts with an overview of the key points discussed during the meeting and the reasons behind the central bank's decisions.
The report is important for market participants as it offers valuable insights into the BoC's views on economic conditions, inflation, and other factors that may affect future monetary policy decisions. By analyzing these details, investors can better understand the likely direction of interest rate changes and the overall outlook for the Canadian economy.
It is worth noting that the BOC Summary of Deliberations is not a verbatim transcript of the meeting. Instead, it highlights the main points of discussion and may not cover all the topics that were addressed during the session. This makes the report a useful tool for gaining a general understanding of the central bank's thinking, but it should be used alongside other sources of information for a more comprehensive view of the Canadian economy and monetary policy.
The indicator shows the amount of capital flows that is directed to the country by foreign investors. Capital flows are essential for developing and emerging markets. They contribute to enhancing investments and financing current account deficits. A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the BRL , while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the BRL.
German Buba Balz Speaks is an economic calendar event that highlights a public speaking engagement or presentation made by a high-ranking official from the Bundesbank (Germany's central bank). During this event, the speaker typically shares insights and updates on the country's economy, inflation, monetary policy, and other key factors impacting Germany's financial landscape.
Investors and market participants pay close attention to these speeches as they may contain valuable information on the central bank's future monetary policy decisions, which can influence the German financial markets, the euro currency, and European bond markets. Any remarks made by the Buba Balz speaker could also serve as an indicator of the overall economic health and direction for Germany, Europe's largest economy.
German Buba Balz Speaks events should be monitored closely by those seeking to make informed decisions or gain an understanding of trends, changes, and developments within German and European financial markets.
Interest Rate Projection for the 1st year is an economic calendar event in the United States that forecasts the interest rates for the upcoming year. It provides valuable insights into the future trends of the interest rates, which can impact various aspects of the economy, such as borrowing costs, investment decisions, and currency valuations.
This projection is closely monitored by investors, businesses, and policymakers to make well-informed financial decisions and assess the overall health of the economy. By considering various factors like inflation, economic growth, unemployment rates, and other economic indicators, the projection sets expectations for future interest rates and helps in anticipating how the Federal Reserve might adjust its monetary policy in response to these factors.
The Interest Rate Projection - 2nd Yr event is an economic indicator that provides insights into the expected direction of interest rates within the United States for the second year. This projection is a valuable tool for investors, businesses, and policymakers to make informed decisions based on the anticipated movement of interest rates.
The Federal Reserve plays a crucial role in determining the interest rates and managing monetary policy. Interest Rate Projections are essential for assessing the overall health of the economy, inflation, and unemployment rates. These projections aid decision-makers in planning their investments and strategies according to future economic conditions. A higher interest rate typically signals a stronger economy, while a lower rate may indicate economic weakness or uncertainty.
The Interest Rate Projection - Current is an economic calendar event for the United States that reflects the market's expectations for future central bank interest rate decisions. Economists, analysts, and market participants use these projections to assess the likely short-term direction of interest rates, which can impact borrowing costs, investment decisions, and financial market activity.
These projections are based on various factors, such as economic growth, inflation, and employment data, as well as global economic developments and geopolitical risks. The Interest Rate Projection - Current is an essential tool for understanding the potential monetary policy direction and its implications for businesses, investors, and consumers.
The Interest Rate Projection - Longer is an economic calendar event for the United States that represents the long-term forecasts for interest rates. This projection, made by central banking authorities like the Federal Reserve, helps market participants and analysts better anticipate future economic developments and monetary policy decisions. The longer-term interest rate forecasts typically cover a period of several years.
These projections can have significant implications for the economy, as interest rates impact borrowing costs, investment decisions, and the value of assets. For instance, higher long-term interest rates can result in increased costs for borrowers, while lower rates can stimulate economic growth through more accessible credit. As such, the Interest Rate Projection - Longer is an essential event to keep an eye on in order to understand both the overall economic outlook and the potential implications for various sectors and financial instruments.
Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) members vote on where to set the rate. Traders watch interest rate changes closely as short term interest rates are the primary factor in currency valuation.
A higher than expected rate is positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected rate is negative/bearish for the USD.
This report includes the Federal Open Market Committee's (FOMC) projection for inflation and economic growth over the next 2 years. An important part of the report is the breakdown of individual FOMC members' interest rate forecasts.
The U.S. Federal Reserve's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement is the primary tool the panel uses to communicate with investors about monetary policy. It contains the outcome of the vote on interest rates, discusses the economic outlook and offers clues on the outcome of future votes.
A more dovish than expected statement could be taken as negative/bearish for the USD, while a more hawkish than expected statement could be taken as positive/bullish for the USD.
Luis de Guindos, Vice-President of the European Central Bank, is set to speak. His speeches often contain indications on the future possible direction of monetary policy.
The FOMC Press Conference is a crucial event on the economic calendar for the United States. It is held by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) and serves as a platform for the Chairman of the Federal Reserve to communicate their views on the current state of the economy, monetary policy, interest rates, and future expectations.
Different subjects discussed during the conference range from inflation, growth outlook, labor market conditions to global economic developments. These insights are vital for financial market participants, as they offer valuable information from the central bank, which in turn influences investment decisions and market reactions.
Analyzing the FOMC Press Conference is essential for traders and investors alike, as the information revealed during the conference can cause significant market movements and create opportunities for profit or potential risk. Keeping a close eye on the conference can provide valuable insights into the direction of monetary policy and its subsequent effects on the economy and financial markets.
Retail Sales measure the change in the total value of inflation-adjusted sales at the retail level. It is the foremost indicator of consumer spending, which accounts for the majority of overall economic activity.
A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the ARS, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the ARS.
Net purchases of U.S treasury bonds & notes by major foreign sector. (Negative figures indicate net sales by foreigners to U.S residents or a net outflow of capital from the United States.) A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD , while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD.
This indicator shows the Sum of [(U.S. securities + Foreign stocks and bonds (Negative figures indicate net sales by foreigners to U.S residents or a net outflow of capital from the United States.) Minus estimated unrecorded principal repayments to foreigners on domestic corporate and agency asset-backed securities + estimated foreign acquisitions of U.S. equities through stock swaps - estimated U.S. acquisitions of foreign equities through stock swaps + increase in nonmarketable Treasury Bonds and Notes Issued to Official Institutions and Other Residents of Foreign Countries)+(monthly changes in banks' and broker/dealers' custody liabilities.)+(TIC, Change in Banks' Own Net Dollar- Denominated Liabilities)] TIC data cover most components of international financial flows, but do not include data on direct investment flows, which are collected and published by the Department of Commerce's Bureau of Economic Analysis. A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD , while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD.
Treasury International Capital (TIC) Net Long-Term Transactions measures the difference in value between foreign long-term securities purchased by U.S. citizens and U.S. long-term securities purchased by foreign investors. Demand for domestic securities and currency demand are directly linked because foreigners must buy the domestic currency to purchase the nation's securities.
A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD.
TIC Net Long-Term Transactions number is the sum of gross purchases by foreigners from US residents minus gross sales by foreigners to US residents. The components used to calculate long term flows are US Treasury bonds and notes, US government agency bonds, US corporate bonds, US corporate stocks, foreign bonds and foreign stocks. (TIC signifies: Treasury International Capital Flows). A higher than expected number should be taken as positive to the USD, while a lower than expected number as negative.
The Central Bank of Brazil's (BCB) Monetary Policy Committee votes on where to set the overnight interest rate. Traders watch interest rate changes closely as short term interest rates are the primary factor in currency valuation.
A higher than expected rate is positive/bullish for the BRL, while a lower than expected rate is negative/bearish for the BRL.
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) measures the annualized change in the inflation-adjusted value of all goods and services produced by the economy. It is the broadest measure of economic activity and the primary indicator of the economy's health.
A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the NZD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the NZD.
Total business activity comprises primary industries + goods producing industries + service industries. Includes unallocated taxes on production and imports, bank service charge and balancing items. Conceptually, both the production and expenditure-based GDP series are the same. However, as each series uses independent data and estimation techniques, some differences between the alternative measures arise. The expenditure-based series has historically shown more quarterly volatility and is more likely to be subject to timing and valuation problems. For these reasons, the production-based measure is the preferred measure for quarter-on-quarter and annual changes.
GDP measures summary value of goods and services generated in a relevant country or region. A region's gross domestic product, or GDP, is one of the ways for measuring the size of its economy. Production approach - The sum of the value added created through the production of goods and services within the economy. Calculation: GDP using the production approach is derived as the sum of gross value added for each industry plus taxes less subsidies on products.
GDP measures summary value of goods and services generated in a relevant country or region. A region's gross domestic product, or GDP, is one of the ways for measuring the size of its economy. Expenditure approach - Total expenditures on all finished goods and services produced within the economy. Calculation: GDP using the expenditure approach is derived as the sum of all final expenditures, changes in inventories and exports of goods and services less imports of goods and services.
Foreign Bonds Buying number measures the flow from the public sector excluding Bank of Japan. The Net data shows the difference of capital inflow and outflow. A positive difference indicates net sales of foreign securities by residents (capital inflow), and a negative difference indicates net purchases of foreign securities by residents (capital outflow). A higher than expected number should be taken as positive to the JPY, while a lower than expected number as negative.
Balance of payments is a set of accounts recording all economic transactions between the residents of the country and the rest of the world in a given period of time, usually one year. Payments into the country are called credits, payments out of the country are called debits. There are three main components of a balance of payments: - current account - capital account - financial account Either a surplus or a deficit can be shown in any of these components. Balance of payments shows strenghts and weaknesses in a country's economy and therefore helps to achieve balanced economic growth. The release of a balance of payments can have a significant effect on the exchange rate of a national currency against other currencies. It is also important to investors of domestic companies that depend on exports. Securities investment, contract basis. Securities investment refers to flows from the public sector excluding Bank of Japan. Bonds include beneficiary certificates but exclude all bills. The Net data shows the difference of capital inflow and outflow.
Employment Change measures the change in the number of people employed. Job creation is an important indicator of consumer spending.
A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the AUD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the AUD.
Full employment describes a situation in which all available labor resources are being used in the most economically efficient way. Economists usually define it as the acceptable level of unemployment above 0%. This means that the unemployment rate is frictional and results from workers who are in between jobs and are still part of the labor force.
A reading that is stronger than forecast is generally supportive (bullish) for the AUD, while a weaker than forecast reading is generally negative (bearish) for the AUD.
The participation rate is an important indicator of the supply of labour. It measures the share of the working-age population either working or looking for work. The number of people who are no longer actively searching for work would not be included in the participation rate.
A reading that is stronger than forecast is generally supportive (bullish) for the AUD, while a weaker than forecast reading is generally negative (bearish) for the AUD.
The official reserve assets are assets denominated in foreign currency, readily available to and controlled by monetary authorities for meeting balance of payments financing needs, intervening in exchange markets to affect the currency exchange rate, and for other related purposes (such as maintaining confidence in the currency and the economy, and serving as a basis for foreign borrowing). They present a very comprehensive picture on a monthly basis of stocks at market price, transactions, foreign exchange and market revaluations and other changes in volume.
The Unemployment Rate measures the percentage of the total work force that is unemployed and actively seeking employment during the previous month.
A higher than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the AUD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the AUD.
The figures displayed in the calendar represent the yield on the JGB auctioned.
JGB's have maturities of up to 50 years. Governments issue treasuries to borrow money to cover the gap between the amount they receive in taxes and the amount they spend to refinance existing debt and/or to raise capital. The rate on a JGB represents the return an investor will receive by holding the note for its entire duration. All bidders receive the same rate at the highest accepted bid.
Yield fluctuations should be monitored closely as an indicator of the government debt situation. Investors compare the average rate at auction to the rate at previous auctions of the same security.
The definition for an unemployed person is: Persons (16-65 years) who were available for work (except for temporary illness) but did not work during the survey week, and who made specific efforts to find a job within the previous 4 weeks by going to an employment agency, by applying directly to an employer, by answering a job ad, or being on a union or professional register. Centered 3-month moving average.The unemployed labour force is greater than the registered unemployed. This is because the figure includes people who are looking for work but who are not registered at the labour exchange (Centrum voor Werk en Inkomen). One major category among them is formed by the women re-entering the labour force. A higher than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the EUR , while a lower than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the EUR.
The Trade Balance measures the difference in value between imported and exported goods and services over the reported period. A positive number indicates that more goods and services were exported than imported.
A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the CHF, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the CHF.
The Monetary Policy Committee votes on where to set the overnight interest rate. Traders watch interest rate changes closely as short term interest rates are the primary factor in currency valuation. A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the PHP , while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the PHP.
Swiss National Bank (SNB) governing board members come to a consensus on where to set the target range for the rate. Traders watch interest rate changes closely as short term interest rates are the primary factor in currency valuation.
A higher than expected rate is positive/bullish for the CHF, while a lower than expected rate is negative/bearish for the CHF.
The SNB Monetary Policy Assessment is an important economic event in Switzerland. Conducted by the Swiss National Bank (SNB), this quarterly assessment provides crucial insights and opinions on the country's current monetary policies, as well as potential updates or changes in the policy framework.
During this assessment, the SNB's Governing Board reviews key economic indicators, including GDP growth, inflation rates, and employment, and considers the performance of these indicators from both a domestic and global perspective. The purpose of this analysis is to determine the suitability of current monetary policy measures and ensure their effectiveness in promoting and maintaining financial stability.
Market participants and investors carefully analyze the SNB Monetary Policy Assessment, as it can provide valuable information about the future direction of Swiss monetary policy. Changes to the policy framework, such as adjustments to interest rates or the exchange rate peg, can have a significant impact on the Swiss economy, financial markets, and the Swiss Franc's value relative to other currencies.
European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde (November 2019 - October 2027) is to speak. As head of the ECB, which sets short term interest rates, she has a major influence over the value of the euro. Traders watch her speeches closely as they are often used to drop subtle hints regarding future monetary policy and interest rate shifts. Her comments may determine a short-term positive or negative trend.
The Monetary Policy Committee votes on where to set the overnight interest rate. Traders watch interest rate changes closely as short term interest rates are the primary factor in currency valuation.
A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the TWD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the TWD.
The Norges Bank Monetary Policy Committee's decision on where to set the overnight deposit rate. Traders watch interest rate changes closely as short term interest rates are the primary factor in currency valuation.
A higher than expected rate is positive/bullish for the NOK, while a lower than expected rate is negative/bearish for the NOK.
The SNB Press Conference is an economic calendar event for Switzerland, where the Swiss National Bank (SNB) communicates its monetary policy decisions to the public. This conference typically occurs quarterly, following the release of the SNB's interest rate decision and monetary policy assessment.
During the press conference, the central bank provides insights into its economic outlook, inflation forecasts, and the factors influencing its policy decisions. Financial market participants closely follow the press conference as it can provide clues about future changes in monetary policy, interest rates, or potential interventions in the foreign exchange market.
Significant policy announcements or shifts in economic projections by the SNB can lead to fluctuations in the Swiss franc's exchange rate or affect the country's financial markets, making this event important for traders and investors focused on Swiss assets.
M3 Money Supply measures the change in the total quantity of domestic currency in circulation and deposited in banks. An increasing supply of money leads to additional spending, which in turn leads to inflation.
Monetary aggregates, known also as "money supply", is the quantity of currency available within the economy to purchase goods and services. Depending on the degree of liquidity chosen to define an asset as money, various monetary aggregates are distinguished: M0, M1, M2, M3, M4, etc. Not all of them are used by every country. Note that methodology of calculating money supply varies between countries. M2 is a monetary aggregate that includes all physical currency circulating in the economy (banknotes and coins), operational deposits in central bank, money in current accounts, saving accounts, money market deposits and small certificates of deposit. Excess money supply growth potentially can cause inflation and generate fears that the government may tighten money growth by allowing the interest rates to rise which in turn, lowers future prices. M2 = Currency in circulation + demand deposits (private sector) + time and savings deposits (private sector).
German Buba Vice President Buch Speaks is an economic event where the Vice President of the Deutsche Bundesbank, Claudia Buch, delivers speeches or remarks on the current economic situation and prospects of Germany. This event holds significance for investors and market participants, as it may provide insights into the country's economic outlook and potential policy changes by the central bank. Commentary and signals from key officials like Buch can influence market sentiment and volatility in the short-term, making this an event worth watching for those tracking the German economy and its impact on the financial markets.
Construction output includes construction work done by enterprises with prevailing construction activity. Construction industry provides information on construction output and activity. Such information gives an insight into the supply on the housing and construction market.The construction industry is one of the first to go into a recession when the economy declines but also to recover as conditions improve. A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the EUR , while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the EUR.
Deutsche Bundesbank President and voting member of the ECB Governing Council from Jan 2022. He's believed to be one of the most influential members of the council. ECB Governing Council members vote on where to set the Eurozone's key interest rates and their public engagements are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy.
Luis de Guindos, Vice-President of the European Central Bank, is set to speak. His speeches often contain indications on the future possible direction of monetary policy.
The Residential Property Prices event is an important indicator for the real estate sector in Ireland. It provides insight into the selling prices of residential properties, including new and used homes, apartments, and townhouses. This event is closely monitored by economists, investors, and policymakers as it affects both the housing market and the overall economy.
Higher residential property prices may indicate a growing economy with increased demand for housing, while lower prices may signify a slowdown or recession. The data is also helpful for first-time homebuyers, property investors, and real estate professionals in making informed decisions.
It's worth mentioning that this event is subject to fluctuations based on factors such as supply and demand, interest rates, and government policies. Thus, it's crucial to analyze the data in context with other economic indicators for a comprehensive understanding of the Irish economy.
The Residential Property Prices event tracks the changes in the sale prices of residential properties in Ireland. This important economic indicator serves as a gauge for the health and direction of the housing market in the country.
Accurate and up-to-date information on property prices can assist potential homebuyers, sellers, investors, and policymakers in making informed decisions. Factors such as supply and demand, interest rates, and economic conditions can impact property prices. An increase in residential property prices indicates a growing housing market and strong demand, while a decrease may suggest a weakening market with lowered demand.
Keep an eye on Ireland's Residential Property Prices event to better understand the current housing market trends and make well-informed decisions related to property investments and transactions.