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GBP/USD
GBPUSD H1 — based on H1 chart As on 14/09/2026 1 — What We See In OUR GBPUSD H1 Chart: OUR chart from 7 Sep to 11 Sep 21:00 shows price 1.34785 bottom to 1.35665 top, current 1.35213. From 7 Sep to 8 Sep 13:00 accumulation range 1.35230-1.35375 with small red/green candles around blue and red moving averages crossing. On 8 Sep 13:00 Swing High forms at 1.35520 with long upper wick — first BSL test. Then 8 Sep 21:00 to 9 Sep 05:00 down to 1.35280 FVG zone, BOS forms. From 9 Sep 05:00 to 10 Sep 05:00 markup to Supply OB 1.35590-1.35665 — series of large green/blue candles with volume increasing, making higher highs 1.35450, 1.35590, 1.35665. On 10 Sep 05:00 top wicks show rejection at Supply. Then 10 Sep 13:00 STRONG BEARISH MOVE starts — large red bearish candle breaks below both moving averages, drops from 1.35500 to 1.34935 low on 10 Sep 13:00 with long lower wick. From 10 Sep 21:00 to 11 Sep 05:00 consolidation 1.35010-1.35100 with small candles. On 11 Sep 05:00 another bearish leg down to 1.35010 then sharp bullish engulfing up to 1.35280. Current price 1.35213 sits exactly at red moving average resistance and below blue moving average — decision at major supply. MACD histogram bottom shows bearish momentum from 10 Sep 13:00 with blue bars below zero, red signal line above, now histogram recovering toward zero but still negative — bearish momentum fading but not bullish yet. 2 — Order Block Supply 1.35520-1.35665 — Distribution Zone: In OUR developed chart analysis we marked ORDER BLOCK (SUPPLY) red box at top. In SMC, bearish Order Block is last bullish candle before bearish displacement. In OUR H1, look at 9 Sep 13:00 to 10 Sep 05:00 — cluster of green/blue bullish candles making top. The last green bullish candle before the first large red bearish candle on 10 Sep 13:00 is around 1.35520-1.35665. That zone is unmitigated supply — price left it with strong bearish displacement and in OUR chart price has not mitigated it fully until current retest? Actually current 1.35213 is below it, but during 10 Sep 05:00 to 13:00 price tried to stay inside supply then rejected. This supply coincides with BSL — Buy-side Liquidity at 1.35520 blue dashed line — multiple swing highs at 8 Sep 13:00, 9 Sep 13:00, 10 Sep 05:00 all at same level taking buy stops. This is classic liquidity grab to distribution. Smart money takes BSL then distributes. 3 — Order Block Demand 1.34785-1.34860 — Accumulation / SSL Zone: In OUR developed chart green box at bottom labeled ORDER BLOCK (DEMAND) with Swing Low yellow arrow. This is 1.34785-1.34860 area where in OUR chart on 11 Sep 13:00 price made long lower wick down to 1.34785 — sweeping sell-side liquidity. Look at 10 Sep 13:00 and 11 Sep 05:00 and 11 Sep 13:00 — all long lower wicks touching same level 1.34785 — this is SSL — Sell-side Liquidity pool. The bullish Order Block is last bearish candle before bullish engulfing on 11 Sep 13:00 — large blue/green bullish candle from 1.34785 up to 1.35280. That demand is where institutional longs were placed after taking sell stops. This demand is still valid and unmitigated partially — only one bullish candle left it. If price returns there, we expect bullish reaction again unless BOS below demand occurs. 4 — Buy-Side Liquidity BSL 1.35520 and Sell-Side Liquidity SSL 1.34785: Liquidity concept is core to SMC — market moves from one liquidity pool to another. In OUR chart BSL at 1.35520 is equal highs from 8 Sep 13:00, 9 Sep 13:00, 10 Sep 05:00 — three swing highs at same level. Price swept above them on 9 Sep 13:00 with wick to 1.35665 taking buy stops, then failed to hold — classic BSL raid. SSL at 1.34785 is equal lows from 10 Sep 13:00 long wick, 11 Sep 05:00 wick, 11 Sep 13:00 wick — all sweeping sell stops below 1.34860. Market in OUR chart did BSL sweep first on 9-10 Sep, then moved to SSL sweep on 10-11 Sep — liquidity to liquidity move from 1.35665 down to 1.34785 — 88 pips expansion. Current price 1.35213 is in middle — premium/discount decision zone. Taking BSL then moving to SSL is bearish market structure. 5 — BOS Break of Structure Bullish at 1.35230 and BOS Bearish at 1.35280: BOS is break of previous swing high/low confirming order flow. In OUR chart we have two BOS: First bullish BOS at 8 Sep 21:00 — green arrow labeled BOS in developed image analysis — price breaks above 1.35230 previous swing low? Actually after accumulation 7 Sep, price breaks above 1.35230 with green candle up to 1.35450 — bullish BOS. This BOS led to markup to Supply OB. Then second bearish BOS at 10 Sep 13:00 — price breaks below 1.35280 swing low with large red candle — bearish BOS confirming shift to bearish order flow. This bearish BOS is more important because it breaks below both moving averages and below previous higher low that held uptrend. After this bearish BOS, price never reclaimed above blue moving average — staying below it until current retest. So we have bullish BOS then bearish BOS — market structure shift from bullish to bearish. 6 — MSS Market Structure Shift at 1.35280-1.35300: MSS is change of character. In OUR chart at 9 Sep 05:00 area we marked MSS blue label. After bullish BOS at 1.35230, price pulls back to 1.35280 FVG zone, makes small red candles, then green candle breaks above — this is MSS bullish confirming bullish continuation to Supply OB. Later after top, at 10 Sep 13:00 bearish displacement, we have another MSS bearish — internal bullish structure breaks. The MSS at top is where price fails to make higher high at 1.35590-1.35665 and instead makes lower high at 1.35520 then breaks down. This MSS is accompanied by MACD histogram crossing below zero — momentum shift from bullish to bearish. MSS is key for entry — after MSS we look for FVG mitigation. 7 — FVG Fair Value Gap at 1.35280 and 1.35100: Fair Value Gap is 3-candle imbalance. In OUR chart we have two FVGs marked purple in developed charte: FVG 1 at 1.35280 — around 8 Sep 21:00 to 9 Sep 05:00 — price jumps from 1.35100 to 1.35300 leaving gap between candles, only small red candles inside. FVG 2 at 1.35100 — around 10 Sep 13:00 drop — price drops from 1.35300 to 1.35010 leaving imbalance. These FVGs are magnets. In OUR chart current price 1.35213 is sitting inside FVG 1 area — price returned to rebalance inefficiency after bearish move. The purple SMA? Actually blue moving average is near 1.35300 which is also FVG confluence. If bullish rejection scenario happens, price will fill FVG 1 then reject from Supply OB. If bearish continuation, price will leave FVG unfilled and drop to next FVG at 1.35100 then to Demand OB 1.34785. FVG mitigation is seen on 11 Sep 13:00 bullish candle that filled lower FVG at 1.35010 before rally. 8 — Strong Bearish Move — Displacement: In OUR developed H1 chart blue arrow labeled STRONG BEARISH MOVE down from 1.35300 to 1.34860. In SMC, displacement is strong impulsive move with large bodies and little wicks leaving FVG. In OUR H1, 10 Sep 13:00 red candle has huge body from 1.35500 to 1.34935 with long lower wick at bottom — this is bearish displacement after taking BSL. Volume? Not shown but MACD histogram spikes negative large blue bars at same time — momentum displacement. This strong bearish move breaks market structure bearish and leaves FVG behind. It also breaks below both moving averages — red and blue — confirming bearish order flow. After displacement, price consolidates 10 Sep 21:00 to 11 Sep 05:00 with small candles — typical after displacement before next leg. 9 — Moving Average Confluence — Blue and Red MA as Dynamic Supply/Demand: OUR chart shows two moving averages: blue line and red line. Early 7-9 Sep blue above red — bullish alignment. Price above both during uptrend to Supply OB. After 10 Sep 13:00 bearish BOS, blue stays above but starts sloping down, red flat around 1.35300. Current price 1.35213 is below blue 1.35300 and at red 1.35230 — price retesting dynamic supply. In SMC, MA slope indicates order flow — when price is below bearish sloping blue MA, we are in bearish order flow. The fact that price on 11 Sep 13:00 spike up to 1.35300 rejected exactly at blue MA and red MA confluence with FVG 1 shows supply confluence. So moving averages now act as dynamic supply at 1.35280-1.35300. 10 — MACD Momentum Context: Bottom indicator MACD histogram with red signal line. From 7 Sep to 10 Sep 05:00 histogram above zero blue bars positive — bullish momentum during markup to Supply OB. At 10 Sep 13:00 histogram crosses below zero with large negative blue bars — bearish momentum displacement matching strong bearish move candle. From 10 Sep 21:00 to 11 Sep 13:00 histogram remains negative but shrinking — bearish momentum fading. Current 11 Sep 21:00 histogram near zero from below, red signal line also turning up but still above histogram — bearish momentum weakening but not yet bullish. This aligns with current price at decision — if histogram crosses above zero, bullish rejection scenario more likely; if it stays below and expands negative again, bearish continuation to Demand OB. 11 — Swing High and Swing Low Structure: In developed image we marked Swing High yellow at 1.35520 top and Swing Low at 1.34785 bottom. Swing High is equal highs BSL sweep area — three highs at same level. Swing Low is triple bottom SSL sweep area — three lows at same level. Structure is range between these after bearish displacement. In SMC, after taking BSL then SSL, market often consolidates in middle — which is what we see 11 Sep 13:00 to 21:00 small candles around 1.35213 — middle of range. The next BOS will determine direction — BOS above Swing High 1.35665 bullish, BOS below Swing Low 1.34785 bearish. 12 — Premium and Discount — Market Positioning: In SMC, when price is at Supply OB 1.35520-1.35665 it is in premium zone — selling zone. When price is at Demand OB 1.34785-1.34860 it is in discount — buying zone. Current price 1.35213 is at equilibrium / middle — 50% of range between premium and discount — decision area. The fact that price moved from premium (Supply) to discount (Demand) in one strong bearish move shows bearish order flow. Now retracing 50% back to equilibrium is typical — 50% retrace of bearish displacement often acts as supply for continuation. So current 1.35213 is premium if we consider last bearish leg from 1.35520 to 1.34785 — 50% is around 1.35200 — exactly where we are — so we are at premium for bearish continuation.
